shows/predicts what & when the next OTF benchmark will be, based on announcements as well as historic data.
You can also scroll down to Historic Benchmark Dates, which will give you the dates of all historic OTF benchmark/signature workouts.
The Calendar looks better on your tablet, laptop & desktop.
Upcoming Benchmark Projection
Next benchmark is going to be Inferno 🔥 , on 1/22/2025.
Type
Projection 🤘
Go to Planner
Days SINCE last benchmark
Historic Minimum
Historic Average
i
Coming soon?
# Data Pts
Type
Projection 🤘
Go to Planner
Days SINCE last benchmark
Historic Minimum
Historic Average
i
Coming soon?
# Data Pts
1
Inferno 🔥
Jan 22
Go
158 days
85 days
122 days
12
2
500m Row 🚣♀️
Feb 5
Go
102 days
61 days
113 days
23
3
Everest 🏔
Feb 10
Go
28 days
70 days
170 days
15
4
12-minute Run 🏃
Feb 13
Go
66 days
74 days
135 days
19
5
Infinity ∞
Mar 14
Go
129 days
161 days
185 days
9
6
Dri-Tri 🏃 🚣♀️ 🏋️
Apr 30
Go
119 days
164 days
222 days
11
7
1-mile Run 🏃
May 6
Go
4 days
56 days
113 days
22
8
Mayhem 🤯
May 17
Go
244 days
363 days
364 days
3
9
200m Row 🚣♀️
May 26
Go
10 days
60 days
139 days
18
10
Catch Me If You Can 👮♀️
May 29
Go
21 days
103 days
153 days
14
11
2000m Row 🚣♀️
May 31
Go
1 day
71 days
135 days
19
12
Hell Week 👻
Oct 24
Go
85 days
365 days
365 days
5
13
12 Days of Fitness 🎄
Dec 1
Go
47 days
365 days
365 days
6
There are no rows in this table
“Prediction” Methodology 🧠
Historic Analysis
For each benchmark, computes the # of days since the previous benchmark of the same type.
For each benchmark type, computes the historic minimum, average, median & maximum, grouped by benchmark of the same type.
When computing historic averages, the min & max values are considered outliers and have been dropped from the calculation to get a more representative average.
Prediction
Using today’s date, compute the # of days since the last benchmark of the same type.
Coming Soon? 🔥
🔥🔥🔥 — If the benchmark has been officially announced, or if the # of days is greater than historic 95th-percentile.
🔥🔥 — If the # of days is greater than historic average.
🔥 — If the # of days is greater than historic 5th-percentile
Projection 🤘
Either using the benchmark date reported by r/orangetheory’s monthly post, or taking the last benchmark date of the same type, and add the average of the historic average & median to project the date.
If the projection is within this month, but it hasn’t been announced yet, projection will be pushed to the beginning of next month.
Confidence Level
With the exception of benchmark officially announced by OTF, due to the sparsity of benchmarks, we have yet to have sufficient data points to support any of the prediction. 😉
On a serious note, while the prediction might not be perfect, the data collected under the Benchmark Date 💿 section below can give you an idea on the # of days between each benchmark. ✅