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All Things VC - June 23' Edition

Summary

Valuations: Series A investors taking longer for diligence and with fewer data points pricing deals is becoming difficult (
). Valuation write-downs are still happening (
).
VC sector: Secondaries world is going to get hot in the coming months (
). Secondary discounts are still deep but the bid/ask spread is moving closer (
). Many mega-VC funds are unable to raise funds and are slashing their targets (
). VC capital calls is in steep decline (
). Industry needs to treat the smaller and larger VC funds differently (
). Talent working at corporate VC units are much more likely to change jobs than those working at Institutional VC firms (
). Many established and bigger VCs are starting Funds-of-Funds (
).
LP focused: After dismal performance, Calpers is pushing record amounts towards VC (
). Common mistakes from VC LPs (
). VC benchmarking: Funds that are diverse outperform, funds with a female GP outperform, solo GPs outperform, and career operators outperform those with a fund management background (
).
EU ecosystem: Records amount of dry powder in 2023 (
). Majority of investors in EU believe unicorns are overvalued, more U.S. VCs are coming to EU, and lack of exits a key weakness in the ecosystem (
). Generative AI wave has reached the EU shores with it making up to 35% of total AI funding in the EU (
).

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‘All Things VC’ focuses on topics relevant to GPs & LPs in the venture capital world on a strategic level i.e. valuations, market dynamics, fundraising, D&I, portfolio construction & more.
Individual investment areas like ClimateTech, HealthTech, etc. are not covered.


Tweets

Elizabeth Yin on VC Fund Manager Fundraising

Megan Reynolds on VC LP thoughts



Shai Goldman on VC being a tough business

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News and Articles


PitchBook - Record levels of dry powder in Europe?

Snippets from the report
2023 will see a record €45 billion of dry powder in the European VC ecosystem - on track to come true
So far in 2023, we have seen €6.8 billion in European fundraising, which is on track to be as strong as the previous three years
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Speedinvest - Inside the Minds of European VCs

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Snippets from the article
86% believe unicorns are overvalued
76% are seeing more US VCs in Europe
75% see lack of capital & exits as key weaknesses

ATO Capital - An Allocator’s Perspective on Emerging Managers


FT - Calpers plans multibillion-dollar push into venture capital

Calpers could put as much as $5bn in new money into venture capital. That is a massive boost to the funds which are struggling to raise new money. Plus it will make Calpers one of the single largest US investor in VC.

Though a reminder - From 2000 to 2020, its venture performance was a dismal 0.49%

PitchBook - Will fund-of-funds open the door to early-stage deals?

Snippets from the article
Most investors who focus on more mature companies have simply begun making direct investments in younger companies.
The universe of VC-focused FoFs is small, but the strategy has a strong track record. Over the past decade, vehicles that invested in VC across all other private market strategies, according to PitchBook data.

CF Private Equity - Is Now the Right Time to Invest in Venture Capital?


Ryan Hoover - Fundraising Guide


TechCrunch - What are Series A VCs looking for?

Snippets from the article
Series A investors are still taking longer to do due diligence, are more focused on the metrics, and are looking to participate in rounds at reasonable valuations.
The muted late-stage funding and exit environments have left investors with few data points and examples of how to price companies — and that now affects the Series A stage, too.
For one thing, it’s harder now for founders to start planning a fundraise because it isn’t as clear who is even actively investing or adding new portfolio companies

TechCrunch - There are signs that it will be a hot secondaries summer

Highlights
Bid/ask spread between buyers and sellers has decreased to 17% - lowest percentage in a year
“Discounts are still high, but there is a collection of companies, a block of them, that are trading at premiums which aren’t really covered in the averages because a lot of them are written down from their averages,” he said.

Ilya Strebulaev - Changing dynamics in Corporate Venture Capital

Venture capitalists working at corporate VC units are much more likely to change jobs than those working at Institutional VC firms. Two reasons were discussed
Compensation in CVC does not align long-term incentives.
CVC units are less likely to survive compared to IVC firms, and many of them may undergo reorganization or scaling down as the market sentiment and the economy change.
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Samir Kaji - 9 Common mistakes made by VC Limited Partners

9 mistakes as mentioned in the article
Investing cyclically
Overrating track records
Treating Venture as an index
Ad-hoc Investing
Momentum Investing
Market Timing
Self-sourcing direct deals
Diversification

Marc Penkala - Capital calls are falling off the cliff

Snippets from the blog
Recent steep decline of (45%) in capital calls have significant implications for both LPs and VC funds.
LPs may benefit from increased flexibility in managing their committed capital, while VC funds may face challenges in maintaining investment momentum and meeting their performance goals.

Bloomberg - Shares of Startups Are Turning Dirt Cheap, Attracting Venture Funds

Snippets from the newsletter
Cash-strapped founders, employees and investors are under pressure to sell their stakes amid a wave of tech job cuts, a tepid IPO market and rising interest rates. That has helped to drive down prices. As of May 31, shares of startups were trading at a median discount of 61% compared to valuations at their latest funding rounds, according to a by

SiftedEU - Europe kicks off new support measures to help (future) deep tech innovators scale up


Samaipata Ventures - In the ecosystem: A polarizing market

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Snippets from the newsletter
In just Q1 of this year, there were 185k global redundancies (6% in Europe) compared to 165k in 2022.
AI accounts for around 12% of venture funding in Europe, but a staggering 35% was invested in Generative AI to date in May 2023 vs 5% in 2022.

FT - Rocket Internet backs away from start-up investing in tech downturn

Snippet from the article
Meanwhile, over the past couple of years, Rocket has slashed staff at its venture funds, closed one of its investment units, abandoned plans to raise a new start-up fund, and urged certain nascent tech companies it has invested in to adopt more conservative spending plans.

TechCrunch - Filings reveal PE and VC returns amid escalating write-downs

Snippets from the article
Some high-profile venture capital and private equity firms are slashing the valuation of their holdings, causing billions in apparent profits to evaporate as the economic downturn undermines the sustained growth of the last 13 years.

Snippets from the article
The real story for me is not the VCs, it’s the HBCUs and it’s the endowment gap — and the gap’s been growing in part because of the success of venture firms


Charles Hudson - What Happens When Small and Large VC Firms Decouple and Have Less in Common?

Snippets from the blog
For most of my venture career, it felt like small funds and larger funds were part of the same ecosystem, where winning looked the same for most folks regardless of fund size. As the scale of the largest venture funds continues to increase, it feels like the shared incentives and winning that bound smaller and larger firms together no longer applies to the degree that it once did. I wrote up some of my thoughts on this change and what it means in terms of competition in our industry.

Institutional Investor - There’s No Easy Exit for Companies Backed by PE and VC


BusinessInsider - VC fundraising goals are hit


Videos and Podcasts


Disrupting VC Benchmarking and Closing The LP-GP Information Gap

Takeaways from the :
In the last decade emerging managers has become its own sub-category, and venture as an asset class has bifurcated into specialist and generalist investors.
Funds that are diverse outperform, funds with a female GP outperform, solo GPs outperform, and career operators outperform those with a fund management background.
Fund benchmarking requires more scrutiny.
At the median, first funds do reasonably well, second funds do worse than the first, but third funds shoot up in terms of performance.

Generational change in venture capital

generational change in venture capital, both from an allocator and investor side, and what our generation of investors can do to continue pushing the industry forward.

20VC: How to Raise a Venture Fund from Deck to First Meetings to Final Close

Highlights include
Entry into the World of Venture
Preparing Docs for a Fundraise
Meeting Your First LPs
Closing LPs: The Tips and Tricks
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