Russia-Ukraine confrontation: bringing up new questions

Timeline Key Communication Struggle

Timeline of Option/Actions
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TodayFit

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Date:
February 1 - December 31, 2022
Actors conversations
1
Rowid
Actor Emisor
Actor Receptor
Expression
Date
Context
Concatenate
Type of play
Source
Media
Imagen
Duration
1
34
Putin
OTAN
El Mundo: Putin 'acepta' la entrada en la OTAN de Suecia y Finlandia pero reaccionará si refuerzan su ejército. Es sobre todo la entrada de Finlandia la que cambia el panorama para Moscú. La extensión de la frontera que comparte Rusia con la OTAN pasaría a casi duplicarse.
5/17/2022
@Putin
Change Position about Sweden/Finland joining OTAN
21 days
2
33
England
Sholtz
Biden
Macron
Putin
AFP: The G7 "will never recognize the borders" that Russia wants to modify by force.
5/16/2022
@England
@Sholtz
@Biden
@Macron
Block Russian Intention to keep territory
39 days
3
26
Turkey
OTAN
El Mundo: Turquía se opone a la adhesión de Suecia y Finlandia a la OTAN. Estados Unidos reacciona con sorpresa al rechazo de Erdogan pero confía en poder negociar su postura.
5/14/2022
@Turkey
Block Sweden and Finland from joining OTAN
27 days
4
27
Putin
Finland
AFP: Rusia dejará de entregar electricidad a Finlandia a partir del sábado, después del anuncio de ésta de que pedirá su adhesión a la OTAN.
5/14/2022
@Putin
Penalize Finland willingness to join OTAN
60 days
5
28
Press
EFE: Rusia sufre una derrota en el río Donets y se retira de los alrededores de Jarkov. Reuters. Ucrania incendia un buque ruso en la zona de la Isla de las Serpientes: "Uno de los más nuevos de su flota".
5/14/2022
@Press
6
29
Zelensky
Rusia
El País: Kiev espera armar a un millón de personas y advierte de que vienen semanas muy difíciles.
5/14/2022
@Zelensky
Reinforce defense
30 days
7
30
Atlantic Council
Expert
Putin is more likely than not to use nuclear weapons in the war in Ukraine if he faces devastating defeat. If Putin perceives an existential threat to his regime, then he will be compelled to prevent that outcome—even if that requires taking risky escalatory steps. Nuclear weapons are the ultimate tools of last resort; any rational leader would consider using them if his or her regime (or life) were on the line.
5/14/2022
@Atlantic Council
@Expert
Threat with using nuclear weapons
60 days
8
31
Atlantic Council
Expert
Putin presumably expects his threats will induce NATO to abandon Ukraine. However, if he believes he is facing defeat or a costly stalemate—or has a chance of success through sharp escalation—there is some non-zero (perhaps a worryingly high 1 or 2 percent) risk he will carry out his threats. Even a small risk is deeply dangerous, and he should recognize the risk of starting a nuclear war, so deterring him is the most desirable outcome. Accordingly, NATO should say clearly that any nuclear attack by Russia would meet with a response potentially including nuclear weapons.
5/14/2022
@Atlantic Council
@Expert
60 days
9
32
Atlantic Council
Expert
In my view, the probability is very low—not zero, but less than 5 percent. Putin’s nuclear saber-rattling has been aimed at deterring the United States and its allies from escalating their involvement in the war and introducing advanced military capabilities that could give Ukrainian forces a decisive advantage. If Russian forces suffered another humiliating defeat in the campaign to control [the southeastern Ukrainian region of] Donbas, Putin could be pressed by hardliners to deliver on his nuclear threats; but he is unlikely to do so, since this would only galvanize a harsh US and allied response without providing any significant military advantage. Even in the wake of a major military setback, Putin would not likely run the risk of uncontrolled escalation by being the first to break the nuclear taboo. He is more likely to escalate conventional attacks on Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure, as well as against allied [weapons] resupply operations
5/14/2022
@Atlantic Council
@Expert
60 days
11
23
Press
“It’s now more complex than just two sides killing each other,” he said. “The war is regional but the complexity is European and international, and the U.S. essentially poses as a senior patron of Ukraine, determined not to let it lose.”
5/13/2022
@Press
12
24
Press
President and Chancellor Olaf Scholz have discussed the situation in , focusing on humanitarian aspects, during a phone conversation, the Kremlin said on Friday.
"At the initiative of the side, President had a telephone conversation with Chancellor Olaf Scholz. The discussion of the situation in was continued with an emphasis on humanitarian aspects," the Kremlin said in a statement.
5/13/2022
@Press
13
25
NYT
Press
the Russian invasion also highlighted another glaring failure: Moscow’s flawed analysis of the politics of the country it was attacking. The miscalculation led to mistakes no less costly in lives for the Russian army than the faulty tactics of tank operators who steered into bogs. The Kremlin entered the war expecting a quick and painless victory, predicting that the government of President Volodymyr Zelensky would fracture and that leading officials in the largely Russian-speaking eastern region would gladly switch sides. That has not happened.
5/13/2022
@NYT
@Press
14
11
Prensa Kremlin
5/12/2022
@Prensa Kremlin
15
12
Zelensky
Infobae: Zelensky conditioned the neutrality that Russia demands to the liberation of the entire territory of Ukraine.
5/12/2022
@Zelensky
16
14
Finland
" must apply for
membership without delay," President Sauli Niinisto and Sanna Marin announced in a statement in .
5/12/2022
@Finland
17
15
Rusia
There are no changes in the negotiation process between Russia and Ukraine, currently there is not much to boast of, Peskov told journalists.
5/12/2022
@Rusia
18
17
England
Russia is now withdrawing some of its troops after suffering “heavy losses” in recent days, claimed the United Kingdom’s Ministry of Defense on Thursday. In an update posted on social media, the ministry alleged that “Ukrainian forces are continuing to counterattack to the north of Kharkiv, recapturing several towns and villages towards the Russian border.”
5/12/2022
@England
19
18
China
Russia sanctions will trigger global food and energy crises China
5/12/2022
@China
20
21
OTAN
Otan se mostra disposta a integrar Finlândia rapidamente
5/12/2022
@OTAN
21
13
Rusia
Deputy Chairman of Russia’s Security Council Dmitry Medvedev wrote on his Telegram channel earlier on Thursday that pumping weapons into Ukraine increased the probability of NATO’s potential conflict with Russia that might grow into a nuclear war that "would be a scenario catastrophic for all".
5/10/2022
@Rusia
22
16
Consejo de DDHH de la ONU aprobó investigar crímenes de guerra de Rusia contra Ucrania
5/10/2022
23
19
La directora de la Inteligencia de Estados Unidos, Avril Haines, señaló que Moscú aspira a hacerse con un territorio que le haga de puente con una zona que quiere separarse de Moldavia. El Pentágono indica que el avance del ejército ruso es lento en Ucrania, mientras desde Kiev se dice que el ejército de Ucrania ha hecho retroceder a las tropas rusas. La OMS constató la afectación en Ucrania de 200 instalaciones de salud desde el inicio de la guerra que ya llega a su día 76
5/10/2022
24
20
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