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To reiterate, the rescue mission option did not possess the highest expected value. The highest expected value was the option that offered the lower variance in outcome value as well as the higher probability of suc- cess. This option was the one that pursued economic and political sanc- tions as well as negotiations. This strategy did bring about the eventual release of the hostages.104

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Opinion | The War in Ukraine Is Getting Complicated, and America Isn’t Ready (Published 2022) U.S. support for the war is not guaranteed. www.nytimes.com⁠

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Ukraine Aid Tracker: Mapping the West’s support to counter Russia's invasion The West has shown a common understanding of the need to support Ukraine with military and humanitarian aid. Our interactive maps track the aid that Western countries are sending. www.atlanticcouncil.org⁠

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Andrey Kortunov offers three scenarios for the end of the war in Ukraine The Russian political scientist sees it as a clash between societies as well as armies www.economist.com⁠

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‘They basically got everything wrong’: A Russian diplomat speaks out on the war. (Published 2022) Boris Bondarev, a Russian official who resigned over the war in Ukraine, said his colleagues were focused more on pleasing their superiors than on delivering accurate information to Moscow. www.nytimes.com⁠

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Edgar Morin en El País 7/05/22: “Para salvarse, Ucrania tiene que liberarse de la invasión rusa, pero también del antagonismo entre Rusia y Estados Unidos. Es necesario un acuerdo de neutralidad para no seguir avanzando hacia la tercera guerra mundial.”

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