Improve

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Improving the Risk Model

The goal of the Risk Model is to have a high hit-rate. That is, the ratio between
People and Households given a Risk Category in a Cohort
… and
Cases raised from a Cohort that actually had unmet Needs.
Improving the hit-rate will get more support to people who need it, and reduce unnecessary effort for those that don’t.

Steps

1
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Analyse the effectiveness of the Risk Model


The effectiveness of the Risk Model can be analysed where
an Assessment does not lead to an offer of Support
a Case is raised that was NOT in a Cohort
If a pattern emerges … it may be improved by
incorporating new Risk Factors
improving data quality
adjusting the algorithm and weightings that are used to set Risk Categories

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