Forward Looking
Underlying assumptions
Are the core underlying assumptions in the financial model and operational budget sound?
Review model and highlight any assumptions that we believe are particularly aggressive / judgemental
forecast is based on growth in GR which is estimated by management growth is particularly aggressive in the first 6mths of US expansion no churn is built into the model client pipeline is strong with 16 new clients being onboarded and awaiting start dates How do overheads increase with scale?
Compare forecast cost ratios to historic cost ratios Compare overhead ratios to industry average historic cost ratios are generally in line with the financial model, however, staff cost as a % of GR drops significantly over time ratio of cost are in line with those expected for a software company Forward Looking
Cash runway
Comment on the cash runway the company has on completion both in an upside case where growth comes through and the team is grown accordingly and in a downside case where the company has to reduce increased spend in line with slower growth.
When will additional investment be needed?
Produce some relatively simple calculations and draw conclusions as appropriate Comment on historic working capital cycle and how it compares to forecast assumptions burn is high but management expects fast growth from its customer base (onboarding 16 new clients) status quo revenue and costs gives X a 2 year runway with £7m raise historic NWC profile appears positive