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Amazon India: Sales change by 23.4% [270L-→333L]

19.4% Change in DRR [9.00L—>10.75L DRR]
3.3% Change Driven by Number of Days [30D —>31D]

Vendor Central: Sales change by +20% [5.00L —> 6.00L DRR]

Organic Sales: Overall change by +10.6% [2.27L —> 2.50L DRR]
Category A Product Sales: change by +x% [5.00L —> 6.00L DRR]
Traffic: change by +20% [50,000 —> 60,000 DRR]
Hypothesis 1: Amazon Search Ranking & SEO Factors
1.1 Did most of the SKUs gain/lose organic rankings while others dropped?
Yes
Likely Cause: Improved/Decreased ranking positions for high-converting SKUs lead to greater/lesser share of organic traffic landing on them.
Next Step:
Use tools like Helium 10 or Jungle Scout to track SKU-level keyword rank changes from November to December.
See if top performers in December rank higher for key search terms.
End: If confirmed, traffic increase or decrease is largely explained by ranking improvements for high-converting SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did we optimize listings for x% of these SKUs (titles, bullet points, backend keywords) in December?
Yes
Likely Cause: Listing optimizations (e.g., better keywords, enhanced images, A+ content) can improve both visibility and click share from organic search.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November vs. December (possibly use “Manage Your Experiments” in Seller Central or track version changes for vendor).
End: If these optimizations correlate with increased traffic to those SKUs, you’ve found a key driver.
No → If search ranking and listing optimizations don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Amazon Browse Nodes & Category Placement
2.1 Were signifcant proportion of SKUs reassigned with high/low-traffic browse nodes (sub-categories)?
Yes
Likely Cause: Relevant/Irrelevant sub-category placement can drive more/less browsing traffic to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Check the “Product Category” and “Sub-Categories” in Seller Central/Vendor Central for changes.
End: If SKUs that gained/lost traffic were newly placed in a top-browsed category, that explains the traffic change
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did any top-level browse node promotions occur (e.g., Amazon’s “Best Sellers,” “New Releases,” “Movers & Shakers”)?
Yes
Likely Cause: SKUs featured on these high-visibility pages can see a surge in organic traffic.
Next Step:
Check if our SKUs appeared in the “Top 100,” “Best Seller,” or “Amazon’s Choice” lists.
End: If correlated with the timeframe of traffic shift, you have your explanation.
No → Move to Hypothesis 3 if category changes do not account for the redistribution.
Hypothesis 3: Buy Box & Availability
3.1 Did majority of SKUs lose or gain the Buy Box more frequently?
Yes
Likely Cause: A SKU consistently winning the Buy Box will retain the bulk of traffic from search; losing it can drop traffic share significantly.
Next Step:
Review Buy Box percentage and history (Seller Central reports or third-party tools) for each SKU.
End: If high-converting SKUs gained the Buy Box more often, that explains the traffic shift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were bunch of these SKUs out of stock (OOS) or had limited availability in November or December?
Yes
Likely Cause: If lower-converting SKUs were OOS in December, traffic for those SKUs would vanish—and effectively “shift” to available SKUs (which might convert better).
Next Step:
Check inventory logs or “Restock Inventory” reports in Seller/Vendor Central.
End: If restocking correlates with traffic returning to normal distribution, you’ve confirmed a primary driver.
No → If not Buy Box or stock-related, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Demand Shifts & Seasonality
4.1 Is there a seasonal or holiday factor increasing demand for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: During holiday or event periods, shoppers tend to flock to gift or seasonal SKUs, many of which convert well if they’re best-sellers in that category.
Next Step:
Compare historical December performance for these SKUs.
Look at external trends (e.g., Google Trends) to see if certain products are seasonally popular.
End: If data shows cyclical interest, that’s your explanation.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did competitor factors (pricing, stockouts, or brand pullback) drive shoppers to our SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Competitors going OOS or raising prices can shift organic demand to your still-available, well-priced SKUs.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor listings, track competitor price changes.
End: If competitor SKUs dropped out exactly when your high-converting SKUs saw a boost, that explains the traffic increase
No → Move to Hypothesis 5 if no broad demand change is found.
Hypothesis 5: Brand Store & External Traffic
5.1 Were we driving external traffic (via social media, influencers, brand store, etc.) mostly to certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: If you or affiliates promoted specific SKUs heavily, that organic traffic could show up as direct/organic on Amazon (depending on the referral parameters).
Next Step:
Check Amazon Attribution or brand referral data to see if certain SKU links were pushed externally.
End: If these SKUs are also high-converting, that explains half the overall conversion improvement from traffic mix.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Were changes made to the Brand Store (storefront) layout that favored certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Featuring certain products more prominently in the Brand Store can direct more organic store visitors to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Compare Brand Store layouts from November vs. December, and check Store Insights for traffic sources.
End: If the featured SKUs match those that gained traffic share, you’ve located a key factor.
No → Move on to Hypothesis 6 if none of the Brand Store or external referral paths explain the traffic increase/decrease.
Hypothesis 6: Measurement & Tagging
6.1 Did any parent-child ASIN merges or changes in listing variations (color/size) happen?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging variations or changing parent-child relationships can shift the “main” traffic from one SKU to another, altering our perceived distribution.
Next Step:
Check “Manage Inventory” or vendor product catalog for variation merges or splits.
End: If these merges correlate with the timing of traffic shifts, you’ve confirmed the driver.
No → If none of these apply, consider deeper, SKU-by-SKU analysis or revisiting earlier nodes in more detail.
Conversion: change by +0.5 percentage points [2.0% —> 2.5%]
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP: change by -4% [₹500 —> ₹480 DRR]
Category B Product Sales: change by +y% [7.00L —> 7.50L DRR]
Traffic: change by -10% [30,000 —> 27,000 DRR]
Hypothesis 1: Amazon Search Ranking & SEO Factors
1.1 Did most of the SKUs gain/lose organic rankings while others dropped?
Yes
Likely Cause: Improved/Decreased ranking positions for high-converting SKUs lead to greater/lesser share of organic traffic landing on them.
Next Step:
Use tools like Helium 10 or Jungle Scout to track SKU-level keyword rank changes from November to December.
See if top performers in December rank higher for key search terms.
End: If confirmed, traffic increase or decrease is largely explained by ranking improvements for high-converting SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did we optimize listings for x% of these SKUs (titles, bullet points, backend keywords) in December?
Yes
Likely Cause: Listing optimizations (e.g., better keywords, enhanced images, A+ content) can improve both visibility and click share from organic search.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November vs. December (possibly use “Manage Your Experiments” in Seller Central or track version changes for vendor).
End: If these optimizations correlate with increased traffic to those SKUs, you’ve found a key driver.
No → If search ranking and listing optimizations don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Amazon Browse Nodes & Category Placement
2.1 Were signifcant proportion of SKUs reassigned with high/low-traffic browse nodes (sub-categories)?
Yes
Likely Cause: Relevant/Irrelevant sub-category placement can drive more/less browsing traffic to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Check the “Product Category” and “Sub-Categories” in Seller Central/Vendor Central for changes.
End: If SKUs that gained/lost traffic were newly placed in a top-browsed category, that explains the traffic change
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did any top-level browse node promotions occur (e.g., Amazon’s “Best Sellers,” “New Releases,” “Movers & Shakers”)?
Yes
Likely Cause: SKUs featured on these high-visibility pages can see a surge in organic traffic.
Next Step:
Check if your SKUs appeared in the “Top 100,” “Best Seller,” or “Amazon’s Choice” lists.
End: If correlated with the timeframe of traffic shift, you have your explanation.
No → Move to Hypothesis 3 if category changes do not account for the redistribution.
Hypothesis 3: Buy Box & Availability
3.1 Did majority of SKUs lose or gain the Buy Box more frequently?
Yes
Likely Cause: A SKU consistently winning the Buy Box will retain the bulk of traffic from search; losing it can drop traffic share significantly.
Next Step:
Review Buy Box percentage and history (Seller Central reports or third-party tools) for each SKU.
End: If high-converting SKUs gained the Buy Box more often, that explains the traffic shift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were bunch of these SKUs out of stock (OOS) or had limited availability in November or December?
Yes
Likely Cause: If lower-converting SKUs were OOS in December, traffic for those SKUs would vanish—and effectively “shift” to available SKUs (which might convert better).
Next Step:
Check inventory logs or “Restock Inventory” reports in Seller/Vendor Central.
End: If restocking correlates with traffic returning to normal distribution, you’ve confirmed a primary driver.
No → If not Buy Box or stock-related, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Demand Shifts & Seasonality
4.1 Is there a seasonal or holiday factor increasing demand for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: During holiday or event periods, shoppers tend to flock to gift or seasonal SKUs, many of which convert well if they’re best-sellers in that category.
Next Step:
Compare historical December performance for these SKUs.
Look at external trends (e.g., Google Trends) to see if certain products are seasonally popular.
End: If data shows cyclical interest, that’s your explanation.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did competitor factors (pricing, stockouts, or brand pullback) drive shoppers to our SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Competitors going OOS or raising prices can shift organic demand to your still-available, well-priced SKUs.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor listings, track competitor price changes.
End: If competitor SKUs dropped out exactly when your high-converting SKUs saw a boost, that explains the traffic increase
No → Move to Hypothesis 5 if no broad demand change is found.
Hypothesis 5: Brand Store & External Traffic
5.1 Were we driving external traffic (via social media, influencers, brand store, etc.) mostly to certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: If you or affiliates promoted specific SKUs heavily, that organic traffic could show up as direct/organic on Amazon (depending on the referral parameters).
Next Step:
Check Amazon Attribution or brand referral data to see if certain SKU links were pushed externally.
End: If these SKUs are also high-converting, that explains half the overall conversion improvement from traffic mix.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Were changes made to the Brand Store (storefront) layout that favored certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Featuring certain products more prominently in the Brand Store can direct more organic store visitors to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Compare Brand Store layouts from November vs. December, and check Store Insights for traffic sources.
End: If the featured SKUs match those that gained traffic share, you’ve located a key factor.
No → Move on to Hypothesis 6 if none of the Brand Store or external referral paths explain the traffic increase/decrease.
Hypothesis 6: Measurement & Tagging
6.1 Did any parent-child ASIN merges or changes in listing variations (color/size) happen?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging variations or changing parent-child relationships can shift the “main” traffic from one SKU to another, altering our perceived distribution.
Next Step:
Check “Manage Inventory” or vendor product catalog for variation merges or splits.
End: If these merges correlate with the timing of traffic shifts, you’ve confirmed the driver.
No → If none of these apply, consider deeper, SKU-by-SKU analysis or revisiting earlier nodes in more detail.
Conversion: change by +0.5 percentage points [3.0% —> 3.5% ]
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP: change by +6.7% [₹750 —> ₹800 DRR]
Category C Product Sales: change by +z% [4.00L —> 4.20L DRR]
Traffic: change by +10% [40,000 —> 44,000 DRR]
Hypothesis 1: Amazon Search Ranking & SEO Factors
1.1 Did most of the SKUs gain/lose organic rankings while others dropped?
Yes
Likely Cause: Improved/Decreased ranking positions for high-converting SKUs lead to greater/lesser share of organic traffic landing on them.
Next Step:
Use tools like Helium 10 or Jungle Scout to track SKU-level keyword rank changes from November to December.
See if top performers in December rank higher for key search terms.
End: If confirmed, traffic increase or decrease is largely explained by ranking improvements for high-converting SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did we optimize listings for x% of these SKUs (titles, bullet points, backend keywords) in December?
Yes
Likely Cause: Listing optimizations (e.g., better keywords, enhanced images, A+ content) can improve both visibility and click share from organic search.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November vs. December (possibly use “Manage Your Experiments” in Seller Central or track version changes for vendor).
End: If these optimizations correlate with increased traffic to those SKUs, you’ve found a key driver.
No → If search ranking and listing optimizations don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Amazon Browse Nodes & Category Placement
2.1 Were signifcant proportion of SKUs reassigned with high/low-traffic browse nodes (sub-categories)?
Yes
Likely Cause: Relevant/Irrelevant sub-category placement can drive more/less browsing traffic to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Check the “Product Category” and “Sub-Categories” in Seller Central/Vendor Central for changes.
End: If SKUs that gained/lost traffic were newly placed in a top-browsed category, that explains the traffic change
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did any top-level browse node promotions occur (e.g., Amazon’s “Best Sellers,” “New Releases,” “Movers & Shakers”)?
Yes
Likely Cause: SKUs featured on these high-visibility pages can see a surge in organic traffic.
Next Step:
Check if your SKUs appeared in the “Top 100,” “Best Seller,” or “Amazon’s Choice” lists.
End: If correlated with the timeframe of traffic shift, you have your explanation.
No → Move to Hypothesis 3 if category changes do not account for the redistribution.
Hypothesis 3: Buy Box & Availability
3.1 Did majority of SKUs lose or gain the Buy Box more frequently?
Yes
Likely Cause: A SKU consistently winning the Buy Box will retain the bulk of traffic from search; losing it can drop traffic share significantly.
Next Step:
Review Buy Box percentage and history (Seller Central reports or third-party tools) for each SKU.
End: If high-converting SKUs gained the Buy Box more often, that explains the traffic shift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were bunch of these SKUs out of stock (OOS) or had limited availability in November or December?
Yes
Likely Cause: If lower-converting SKUs were OOS in December, traffic for those SKUs would vanish—and effectively “shift” to available SKUs (which might convert better).
Next Step:
Check inventory logs or “Restock Inventory” reports in Seller/Vendor Central.
End: If restocking correlates with traffic returning to normal distribution, you’ve confirmed a primary driver.
No → If not Buy Box or stock-related, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Demand Shifts & Seasonality
4.1 Is there a seasonal or holiday factor increasing demand for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: During holiday or event periods, shoppers tend to flock to gift or seasonal SKUs, many of which convert well if they’re best-sellers in that category.
Next Step:
Compare historical December performance for these SKUs.
Look at external trends (e.g., Google Trends) to see if certain products are seasonally popular.
End: If data shows cyclical interest, that’s your explanation.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did competitor factors (pricing, stockouts, or brand pullback) drive shoppers to our SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Competitors going OOS or raising prices can shift organic demand to your still-available, well-priced SKUs.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor listings, track competitor price changes.
End: If competitor SKUs dropped out exactly when your high-converting SKUs saw a boost, that explains the traffic increase
No → Move to Hypothesis 5 if no broad demand change is found.
Hypothesis 5: Brand Store & External Traffic
5.1 Were we driving external traffic (via social media, influencers, brand store, etc.) mostly to certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: If you or affiliates promoted specific SKUs heavily, that organic traffic could show up as direct/organic on Amazon (depending on the referral parameters).
Next Step:
Check Amazon Attribution or brand referral data to see if certain SKU links were pushed externally.
End: If these SKUs are also high-converting, that explains half the overall conversion improvement from traffic mix.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Were changes made to the Brand Store (storefront) layout that favored certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Featuring certain products more prominently in the Brand Store can direct more organic store visitors to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Compare Brand Store layouts from November vs. December, and check Store Insights for traffic sources.
End: If the featured SKUs match those that gained traffic share, you’ve located a key factor.
No → Move on to Hypothesis 6 if none of the Brand Store or external referral paths explain the traffic increase/decrease.
Hypothesis 6: Measurement & Tagging
6.1 Did any parent-child ASIN merges or changes in listing variations (color/size) happen?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging variations or changing parent-child relationships can shift the “main” traffic from one SKU to another, altering our perceived distribution.
Next Step:
Check “Manage Inventory” or vendor product catalog for variation merges or splits.
End: If these merges correlate with the timing of traffic shifts, you’ve confirmed the driver.
No → If none of these apply, consider deeper, SKU-by-SKU analysis or revisiting earlier nodes in more detail.
Conversion: change by 0% [2.5% —> 2.5% DRR]
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP: change by -3.3% [₹600 —> ₹580 DRR]
Ad Sales: change by +25% [2.80L —> 3.50L DRR]
Category A Product Sales: change by x% [5.00L —> 6.00L DRR]
Impressions: change by x%
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids (or daily budgets) for our key SKUs/campaigns changed in December?
Yes → Possible cause: Increased bids can lead to higher ad rank and more impressions (or decreased bids the opposite).
Next Step: Compare November vs. December bidding and daily budget levels. If we increased them, we likely gained impressions; if we lowered them, we lost impressions.
End: If confirmed, you have found your primary driver for impressions change.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors’ bidding behavior change significantly?
Yes → Cause: Competitor bid changes can raise or lower the overall auction dynamics—affecting how often your ads are shown.
Next Step: Review impression share reports, average position, and competitor metrics. Confirm if competition got stronger or weaker in December.
End: If competitor shifts explain the impression changes, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Did budget constraints cause ads to stop running earlier or later than November?
Yes → Cause: If budgets were capped or exhausted sooner in the day, impressions could drop; if uncapped, impressions might have increased.
Next Step: Compare daily spend patterns and check if budgets were hitting limits.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause for impression fluctuation.
No → If none of these Auction & Bidding factors explain the shift, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Keyword & Targeting Adjustments
2.1 Did we add or remove keywords or product targets (e.g., SKU-based targeting) since November?
Yes → Cause: Expanding keywords or product targets often increases impressions; removing them can reduce impressions.
Next Step: Look at performance by new vs. existing keywords. If the net effect is growth, that explains increased impressions; if removal was larger, it could explain a drop.
End: If confirmed, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Were negative keywords added or targeting restricted?
Yes → Cause: This can reduce the eligible search queries or audience, thereby lowering impressions.
Next Step: Review change logs for negative keyword additions or tighter targeting criteria.
End: If reversing or loosening those changes increases impressions again, it’s confirmed.
No → Proceed to 2.3.
2.3 Were audience segments or geo-targeting expanded or reduced?
Yes → Cause: Broader audiences or geographies often yield more impressions, while restricting them does the opposite.
Next Step: Compare audience or location reports from November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses for Keyword & Targeting are “No,” move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Ad Scheduling & Delivery
3.1 Were ad schedules changed, reducing or extending the total hours ads were shown?
Yes → Cause: Running ads fewer hours can drastically cut impressions; running them more hours can boost impressions.
Next Step: Check the dayparting or ad schedule settings for November vs. December.
End: If scheduling changes align with the impression shift, we’ve found the reason.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were different delivery methods (standard vs. accelerated) used?
Yes → Cause: Switching from accelerated to standard (or vice versa) can shift how quickly ads spend their budget and thus affect total impressions.
Next Step: Check the campaign delivery settings in November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, no further exploration needed.
No → Move to Hypothesis 4 if scheduling & delivery changes do not explain the difference.
Hypothesis 4: Ad Quality & Relevance
4.1 Did our Quality Score or relevance metrics change, impacting how often ads are shown?
Yes → Cause: A drop in Quality Score can reduce impression share; an improvement can boost it.
Next Step: Examine Quality Score components (expected CTR, ad relevance, landing page experience). Identify changes from November to December.
End: If confirmed, focus on improving these factors for stable impression share.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did changes in clickthrough rates (CTR) affect ad rank or impression frequency?
Yes → Cause: While CTR is partly a result of impressions, Amazon use CTR in ad rank calculations. A big CTR drop might reduce total impressions. Conversely, a big CTR rise might increase impression opportunities.
Next Step: Correlate CTR changes with impression share in the ad platforms’ reporting.
End: If confirmed, improving CTR or mitigating its drop can restore impressions.
No → If not ad quality or relevance, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Seasonality & Macro Factors
5.1 Are there seasonal patterns or macro trends (e.g., holidays, economic shifts) that affected total search/ad volume?
Yes → Cause: Overall search volume for our category might have increased or decreased.
Next Step: Check historical data to see if this period typically experiences a change in search interest.
End: If it aligns with known seasonal peaks/slumps, we’ve identified the macro cause.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did competitor promotions or events draw user attention elsewhere or boost overall interest?
Yes → Cause: Competitor heavy promotions can draw more (or fewer) queries in our category, indirectly affecting our impressions.
Next Step: Monitor market-level demand, competitor promotions, or press coverage.
End: If confirmed, this is largely outside direct control, but influences impression volume.
No → If neither seasonality nor macro factors seem to explain it, At this point, consider more granular analyses (SKU-level, time-of-day, device-level, etc.) or revisit earlier hypotheses in more depth.
Impressions Click Through Rate (CTR): change by y%
Contribution of each SKU’s CTR, independent of impression share, affect the overall CTR
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids for the SKUs reduced in December?
Yes → Likely cause: Lower bids may have decreased ad rank/visibility, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Test by incrementally increasing bids for a select group of the SKUs and see if CTR improves.
End: If confirmed, we have found our cause; we may not need to explore further.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors increase their bids substantially, hurting our visibility?
Yes → Likely cause: Even if our bids remained the same, competitor bid increases can lower our relative ad position, reducing CTR.
Next Step: Compare average ad positions and competitor impression share from November vs. December to confirm.
End: If confirmed, explore ways to adjust bidding or enhance ad relevance.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Were budget caps (daily or total) reached earlier than in November for these SKUs?
Yes → Likely cause: Ads may have paused prematurely, running in less optimal hours or positions, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Increase or reallocate budget to see if extending ad availability improves CTR.
End: If confirmed, we have found our cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses in Auction & Bidding are “No,” move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Ad Creative & Messaging
2.1 Were ad creatives or messaging changed for the 83 SKUs?
Yes → Possibly the new creatives/messaging are less appealing.
Next Step: A/B test original (November) creative vs. current (December) creative on a subset of SKUs.
End: If CTR rebounds with old creative, we have found our cause.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Could ad fatigue be impacting CTR? (e.g., same audiences seeing the same ads too often)
Yes → Likely cause: Users become “blind” to repeated ads, diminishing CTR.
Next Step: Reduce frequency caps, refresh creative, or adjust audience segments.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If ad creative or messaging is not the issue, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Audience & Targeting
3.1 Was there a shift in audience segments or targeting parameters? (e.g., new negative keywords, changed demographics)
Yes → Possibly showing ads to a less interested audience.
Next Step: Compare November vs. December audience composition and performance by segment. Reverse or refine targeting changes.
End: If CTR improves after reverting audience changes, we have found our cause.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Are seasonal or macro trends causing lower engagement overall?
Yes → Holiday promotions ended? Post-holiday slump?
Next Step: Check historical data for past years, see if CTR traditionally drops during this period.
End: If seasonality explains the drop, plan promotional strategies accordingly.
No → If no audience or seasonality changes explain the drop, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Offers & Pricing
4.1 Have offers or pricing changed unfavorably for these SKUs?
Yes → Less appealing offers/pricing can deter clicks (users might see lower value in the ad).
Next Step: Compare pre/post pricing and evaluate promotional strategies.
End: If reverting or improving offers reinstates CTR, cause is confirmed.
No → If funnel/landing page is not the culprit, we may need to circle back and do a more granular analysis or revisit earlier hypotheses more deeply.
Contribution of SKUs impression share affecting the CTR
Conversion (CVR): change by z%
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, we’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP
Category B Product Sales: change by y% [7.00L —> 7.50L DRR]
Impressions: change by x%
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids (or daily budgets) for our key SKUs/campaigns changed in December?
Yes → Possible cause: Increased bids can lead to higher ad rank and more impressions (or decreased bids the opposite).
Next Step: Compare November vs. December bidding and daily budget levels. If you increased them, you likely gained impressions; if you lowered them, you lost impressions.
End: If confirmed, you have found your primary driver for impressions change.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors’ bidding behavior change significantly?
Yes → Cause: Competitor bid changes can raise or lower the overall auction dynamics—affecting how often your ads are shown.
Next Step: Review impression share reports, average position, and competitor metrics. Confirm if competition got stronger or weaker in December.
End: If competitor shifts explain the impression changes, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Did budget constraints cause ads to stop running earlier or later than November?
Yes → Cause: If budgets were capped or exhausted sooner in the day, impressions could drop; if uncapped, impressions might have increased.
Next Step: Compare daily spend patterns and check if budgets were hitting limits.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause for impression fluctuation.
No → If none of these Auction & Bidding factors explain the shift, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Keyword & Targeting Adjustments
2.1 Did we add or remove keywords or product targets (e.g., SKU-based targeting) since November?
Yes → Cause: Expanding keywords or product targets often increases impressions; removing them can reduce impressions.
Next Step: Look at performance by new vs. existing keywords. If the net effect is growth, that explains increased impressions; if removal was larger, it could explain a drop.
End: If confirmed, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Were negative keywords added or targeting restricted?
Yes → Cause: This can reduce the eligible search queries or audience, thereby lowering impressions.
Next Step: Review change logs for negative keyword additions or tighter targeting criteria.
End: If reversing or loosening those changes increases impressions again, it’s confirmed.
No → Proceed to 2.3.
2.3 Were audience segments or geo-targeting expanded or reduced?
Yes → Cause: Broader audiences or geographies often yield more impressions, while restricting them does the opposite.
Next Step: Compare audience or location reports from November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses for Keyword & Targeting are “No,” move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Ad Scheduling & Delivery
3.1 Were ad schedules changed, reducing or extending the total hours ads were shown?
Yes → Cause: Running ads fewer hours can drastically cut impressions; running them more hours can boost impressions.
Next Step: Check the dayparting or ad schedule settings for November vs. December.
End: If scheduling changes align with the impression shift, you’ve found the reason.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were different delivery methods (standard vs. accelerated) used?
Yes → Cause: Switching from accelerated to standard (or vice versa) can shift how quickly ads spend their budget and thus affect total impressions.
Next Step: Check the campaign delivery settings in November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, no further exploration needed.
No → Move to Hypothesis 4 if scheduling & delivery changes do not explain the difference.
Hypothesis 4: Ad Quality & Relevance
4.1 Did our Quality Score or relevance metrics change, impacting how often ads are shown?
Yes → Cause: A drop in Quality Score can reduce impression share; an improvement can boost it.
Next Step: Examine Quality Score components (expected CTR, ad relevance, landing page experience). Identify changes from November to December.
End: If confirmed, focus on improving these factors for stable impression share.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did changes in clickthrough rates (CTR) affect ad rank or impression frequency?
Yes → Cause: While CTR is partly a result of impressions, certain ad platforms use CTR in ad rank calculations. A big CTR drop might reduce total impressions. Conversely, a big CTR rise might increase impression opportunities.
Next Step: Correlate CTR changes with impression share in the ad platforms’ reporting.
End: If confirmed, improving CTR or mitigating its drop can restore impressions.
No → If not ad quality or relevance, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Seasonality & Macro Factors
5.1 Are there seasonal patterns or macro trends (e.g., holidays, economic shifts) that affected total search/ad volume?
Yes → Cause: Overall search volume for your category might have increased or decreased.
Next Step: Check historical data to see if this period typically experiences a change in search interest.
End: If it aligns with known seasonal peaks/slumps, you’ve identified the macro cause.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did competitor promotions or events draw user attention elsewhere or boost overall interest?
Yes → Cause: Competitor heavy promotions can draw more (or fewer) queries in your category, indirectly affecting your impressions.
Next Step: Monitor market-level demand, competitor promotions, or press coverage.
End: If confirmed, this is largely outside direct control, but influences impression volume.
No → If neither seasonality nor macro factors seem to explain it, At this point, consider more granular analyses (SKU-level, time-of-day, device-level, etc.) or revisit earlier hypotheses in more depth.
Impressions Click Through Rate (CTR): change by y%
Contribution of each SKU’s CTR, independent of impression share, affect the overall CTR
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids for the 83 SKUs reduced in December?
Yes → Likely cause: Lower bids may have decreased ad rank/visibility, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Test by incrementally increasing bids for a select group of the 83 SKUs and see if CTR improves.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause; you may not need to explore further.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors increase their bids substantially, hurting our visibility?
Yes → Likely cause: Even if our bids remained the same, competitor bid increases can lower our relative ad position, reducing CTR.
Next Step: Compare average ad positions and competitor impression share from November vs. December to confirm.
End: If confirmed, explore ways to adjust bidding or enhance ad relevance.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Were budget caps (daily or total) reached earlier than in November for these SKUs?
Yes → Likely cause: Ads may have paused prematurely, running in less optimal hours or positions, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Increase or reallocate budget to see if extending ad availability improves CTR.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses in Auction & Bidding are “No,” move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Ad Creative & Messaging
2.1 Were ad creatives or messaging changed for the 83 SKUs?
Yes → Possibly the new creatives/messaging are less appealing.
Next Step: A/B test original (November) creative vs. current (December) creative on a subset of SKUs.
End: If CTR rebounds with old creative, you have found your cause.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Could ad fatigue be impacting CTR? (e.g., same audiences seeing the same ads too often)
Yes → Likely cause: Users become “blind” to repeated ads, diminishing CTR.
Next Step: Reduce frequency caps, refresh creative, or adjust audience segments.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If ad creative or messaging is not the issue, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Audience & Targeting
3.1 Was there a shift in audience segments or targeting parameters? (e.g., new negative keywords, changed demographics)
Yes → Possibly showing ads to a less interested audience.
Next Step: Compare November vs. December audience composition and performance by segment. Reverse or refine targeting changes.
End: If CTR improves after reverting audience changes, you have found your cause.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Are seasonal or macro trends causing lower engagement overall?
Yes → Holiday promotions ended? Post-holiday slump?
Next Step: Check historical data for past years, see if CTR traditionally drops during this period.
End: If seasonality explains the drop, plan promotional strategies accordingly.
No → If no audience or seasonality changes explain the drop, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Offers & Pricing
4.1 Have offers or pricing changed unfavorably for these SKUs?
Yes → Less appealing offers/pricing can deter clicks (users might see lower value in the ad).
Next Step: Compare pre/post pricing and evaluate promotional strategies.
End: If reverting or improving offers reinstates CTR, cause is confirmed.
No → If funnel/landing page is not the culprit, you may need to circle back and do a more granular analysis or revisit earlier hypotheses more deeply.
Contribution of SKUs impression share affecting the CTR
Conversion (CVR): change by z%
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP
Category C Product Sales: change by y% [7.00L —> 7.50L DRR]
Impressions: change by x%
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids (or daily budgets) for our key SKUs/campaigns changed in December?
Yes → Possible cause: Increased bids can lead to higher ad rank and more impressions (or decreased bids the opposite).
Next Step: Compare November vs. December bidding and daily budget levels. If you increased them, you likely gained impressions; if you lowered them, you lost impressions.
End: If confirmed, you have found your primary driver for impressions change.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors’ bidding behavior change significantly?
Yes → Cause: Competitor bid changes can raise or lower the overall auction dynamics—affecting how often your ads are shown.
Next Step: Review impression share reports, average position, and competitor metrics. Confirm if competition got stronger or weaker in December.
End: If competitor shifts explain the impression changes, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Did budget constraints cause ads to stop running earlier or later than November?
Yes → Cause: If budgets were capped or exhausted sooner in the day, impressions could drop; if uncapped, impressions might have increased.
Next Step: Compare daily spend patterns and check if budgets were hitting limits.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause for impression fluctuation.
No → If none of these Auction & Bidding factors explain the shift, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Keyword & Targeting Adjustments
2.1 Did we add or remove keywords or product targets (e.g., SKU-based targeting) since November?
Yes → Cause: Expanding keywords or product targets often increases impressions; removing them can reduce impressions.
Next Step: Look at performance by new vs. existing keywords. If the net effect is growth, that explains increased impressions; if removal was larger, it could explain a drop.
End: If confirmed, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Were negative keywords added or targeting restricted?
Yes → Cause: This can reduce the eligible search queries or audience, thereby lowering impressions.
Next Step: Review change logs for negative keyword additions or tighter targeting criteria.
End: If reversing or loosening those changes increases impressions again, it’s confirmed.
No → Proceed to 2.3.
2.3 Were audience segments or geo-targeting expanded or reduced?
Yes → Cause: Broader audiences or geographies often yield more impressions, while restricting them does the opposite.
Next Step: Compare audience or location reports from November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses for Keyword & Targeting are “No,” move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Ad Scheduling & Delivery
3.1 Were ad schedules changed, reducing or extending the total hours ads were shown?
Yes → Cause: Running ads fewer hours can drastically cut impressions; running them more hours can boost impressions.
Next Step: Check the dayparting or ad schedule settings for November vs. December.
End: If scheduling changes align with the impression shift, you’ve found the reason.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were different delivery methods (standard vs. accelerated) used?
Yes → Cause: Switching from accelerated to standard (or vice versa) can shift how quickly ads spend their budget and thus affect total impressions.
Next Step: Check the campaign delivery settings in November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, no further exploration needed.
No → Move to Hypothesis 4 if scheduling & delivery changes do not explain the difference.
Hypothesis 4: Ad Quality & Relevance
4.1 Did our Quality Score or relevance metrics change, impacting how often ads are shown?
Yes → Cause: A drop in Quality Score can reduce impression share; an improvement can boost it.
Next Step: Examine Quality Score components (expected CTR, ad relevance, landing page experience). Identify changes from November to December.
End: If confirmed, focus on improving these factors for stable impression share.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did changes in clickthrough rates (CTR) affect ad rank or impression frequency?
Yes → Cause: While CTR is partly a result of impressions, certain ad platforms use CTR in ad rank calculations. A big CTR drop might reduce total impressions. Conversely, a big CTR rise might increase impression opportunities.
Next Step: Correlate CTR changes with impression share in the ad platforms’ reporting.
End: If confirmed, improving CTR or mitigating its drop can restore impressions.
No → If not ad quality or relevance, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Seasonality & Macro Factors
5.1 Are there seasonal patterns or macro trends (e.g., holidays, economic shifts) that affected total search/ad volume?
Yes → Cause: Overall search volume for your category might have increased or decreased.
Next Step: Check historical data to see if this period typically experiences a change in search interest.
End: If it aligns with known seasonal peaks/slumps, you’ve identified the macro cause.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did competitor promotions or events draw user attention elsewhere or boost overall interest?
Yes → Cause: Competitor heavy promotions can draw more (or fewer) queries in your category, indirectly affecting your impressions.
Next Step: Monitor market-level demand, competitor promotions, or press coverage.
End: If confirmed, this is largely outside direct control, but influences impression volume.
No → If neither seasonality nor macro factors seem to explain it, At this point, consider more granular analyses (SKU-level, time-of-day, device-level, etc.) or revisit earlier hypotheses in more depth.
Impressions Click Through Rate (CTR): change by y%
Contribution of each SKU’s CTR, independent of impression share, affect the overall CTR
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids for the 83 SKUs reduced in December?
Yes → Likely cause: Lower bids may have decreased ad rank/visibility, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Test by incrementally increasing bids for a select group of the 83 SKUs and see if CTR improves.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause; you may not need to explore further.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors increase their bids substantially, hurting our visibility?
Yes → Likely cause: Even if our bids remained the same, competitor bid increases can lower our relative ad position, reducing CTR.
Next Step: Compare average ad positions and competitor impression share from November vs. December to confirm.
End: If confirmed, explore ways to adjust bidding or enhance ad relevance.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Were budget caps (daily or total) reached earlier than in November for these SKUs?
Yes → Likely cause: Ads may have paused prematurely, running in less optimal hours or positions, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Increase or reallocate budget to see if extending ad availability improves CTR.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses in Auction & Bidding are “No,” move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Ad Creative & Messaging
2.1 Were ad creatives or messaging changed for the 83 SKUs?
Yes → Possibly the new creatives/messaging are less appealing.
Next Step: A/B test original (November) creative vs. current (December) creative on a subset of SKUs.
End: If CTR rebounds with old creative, you have found your cause.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Could ad fatigue be impacting CTR? (e.g., same audiences seeing the same ads too often)
Yes → Likely cause: Users become “blind” to repeated ads, diminishing CTR.
Next Step: Reduce frequency caps, refresh creative, or adjust audience segments.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If ad creative or messaging is not the issue, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Audience & Targeting
3.1 Was there a shift in audience segments or targeting parameters? (e.g., new negative keywords, changed demographics)
Yes → Possibly showing ads to a less interested audience.
Next Step: Compare November vs. December audience composition and performance by segment. Reverse or refine targeting changes.
End: If CTR improves after reverting audience changes, you have found your cause.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Are seasonal or macro trends causing lower engagement overall?
Yes → Holiday promotions ended? Post-holiday slump?
Next Step: Check historical data for past years, see if CTR traditionally drops during this period.
End: If seasonality explains the drop, plan promotional strategies accordingly.
No → If no audience or seasonality changes explain the drop, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Offers & Pricing
4.1 Have offers or pricing changed unfavorably for these SKUs?
Yes → Less appealing offers/pricing can deter clicks (users might see lower value in the ad).
Next Step: Compare pre/post pricing and evaluate promotional strategies.
End: If reverting or improving offers reinstates CTR, cause is confirmed.
No → If funnel/landing page is not the culprit, you may need to circle back and do a more granular analysis or revisit earlier hypotheses more deeply.
Contribution of SKUs impression share affecting the CTR
Conversion (CVR): change by z%
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP

Seller Central: Sales change by +18.75% [4.00L —> 4.75L DRR]

Organic Sales: Overall change by +13.6% [2.50L —> 2.95L DRR]
Category A Product Sales: change by +20% [4.00L —> 4.80L DRR]
Traffic: change by +20% [45,000 —> 54,000 DRR]
Hypothesis 1: Amazon Search Ranking & SEO Factors
1.1 Did most of the SKUs gain/lose organic rankings while others dropped?
Yes
Likely Cause: Improved/Decreased ranking positions for high-converting SKUs lead to greater/lesser share of organic traffic landing on them.
Next Step:
Use tools like Helium 10 or Jungle Scout to track SKU-level keyword rank changes from November to December.
See if top performers in December rank higher for key search terms.
End: If confirmed, traffic increase or decrease is largely explained by ranking improvements for high-converting SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did we optimize listings for x% of these SKUs (titles, bullet points, backend keywords) in December?
Yes
Likely Cause: Listing optimizations (e.g., better keywords, enhanced images, A+ content) can improve both visibility and click share from organic search.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November vs. December (possibly use “Manage Your Experiments” in Seller Central or track version changes for vendor).
End: If these optimizations correlate with increased traffic to those SKUs, you’ve found a key driver.
No → If search ranking and listing optimizations don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Amazon Browse Nodes & Category Placement
2.1 Were signifcant proportion of SKUs reassigned with high/low-traffic browse nodes (sub-categories)?
Yes
Likely Cause: Relevant/Irrelevant sub-category placement can drive more/less browsing traffic to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Check the “Product Category” and “Sub-Categories” in Seller Central/Vendor Central for changes.
End: If SKUs that gained/lost traffic were newly placed in a top-browsed category, that explains the traffic change
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did any top-level browse node promotions occur (e.g., Amazon’s “Best Sellers,” “New Releases,” “Movers & Shakers”)?
Yes
Likely Cause: SKUs featured on these high-visibility pages can see a surge in organic traffic.
Next Step:
Check if your SKUs appeared in the “Top 100,” “Best Seller,” or “Amazon’s Choice” lists.
End: If correlated with the timeframe of traffic shift, you have your explanation.
No → Move to Hypothesis 3 if category changes do not account for the redistribution.
Hypothesis 3: Buy Box & Availability
3.1 Did majority of SKUs lose or gain the Buy Box more frequently?
Yes
Likely Cause: A SKU consistently winning the Buy Box will retain the bulk of traffic from search; losing it can drop traffic share significantly.
Next Step:
Review Buy Box percentage and history (Seller Central reports or third-party tools) for each SKU.
End: If high-converting SKUs gained the Buy Box more often, that explains the traffic shift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were bunch of these SKUs out of stock (OOS) or had limited availability in November or December?
Yes
Likely Cause: If lower-converting SKUs were OOS in December, traffic for those SKUs would vanish—and effectively “shift” to available SKUs (which might convert better).
Next Step:
Check inventory logs or “Restock Inventory” reports in Seller/Vendor Central.
End: If restocking correlates with traffic returning to normal distribution, you’ve confirmed a primary driver.
No → If not Buy Box or stock-related, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Demand Shifts & Seasonality
4.1 Is there a seasonal or holiday factor increasing demand for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: During holiday or event periods, shoppers tend to flock to gift or seasonal SKUs, many of which convert well if they’re best-sellers in that category.
Next Step:
Compare historical December performance for these SKUs.
Look at external trends (e.g., Google Trends) to see if certain products are seasonally popular.
End: If data shows cyclical interest, that’s your explanation.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did competitor factors (pricing, stockouts, or brand pullback) drive shoppers to our SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Competitors going OOS or raising prices can shift organic demand to your still-available, well-priced SKUs.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor listings, track competitor price changes.
End: If competitor SKUs dropped out exactly when your high-converting SKUs saw a boost, that explains the traffic increase
No → Move to Hypothesis 5 if no broad demand change is found.
Hypothesis 5: Brand Store & External Traffic
5.1 Were we driving external traffic (via social media, influencers, brand store, etc.) mostly to certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: If you or affiliates promoted specific SKUs heavily, that organic traffic could show up as direct/organic on Amazon (depending on the referral parameters).
Next Step:
Check Amazon Attribution or brand referral data to see if certain SKU links were pushed externally.
End: If these SKUs are also high-converting, that explains half the overall conversion improvement from traffic mix.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Were changes made to the Brand Store (storefront) layout that favored certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Featuring certain products more prominently in the Brand Store can direct more organic store visitors to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Compare Brand Store layouts from November vs. December, and check Store Insights for traffic sources.
End: If the featured SKUs match those that gained traffic share, you’ve located a key factor.
No → Move on to Hypothesis 6 if none of the Brand Store or external referral paths explain the traffic increase/decrease.
Hypothesis 6: Measurement & Tagging
6.1 Did any parent-child ASIN merges or changes in listing variations (color/size) happen?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging variations or changing parent-child relationships can shift the “main” traffic from one SKU to another, altering our perceived distribution.
Next Step:
Check “Manage Inventory” or vendor product catalog for variation merges or splits.
End: If these merges correlate with the timing of traffic shifts, you’ve confirmed the driver.
No → If none of these apply, consider deeper, SKU-by-SKU analysis or revisiting earlier nodes in more detail.
Conversion: change by +0.4 percentage points [2.2% —> 2.6%]
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP: change by -3.8% [₹520 —> ₹500 DRR]
Category B Product Sales: change by +10.8% [6.50L —> 7.20L DRR]
Traffic: change by -7.1% [35,000 —> 32,500 DRR]
Hypothesis 1: Amazon Search Ranking & SEO Factors
1.1 Did most of the SKUs gain/lose organic rankings while others dropped?
Yes
Likely Cause: Improved/Decreased ranking positions for high-converting SKUs lead to greater/lesser share of organic traffic landing on them.
Next Step:
Use tools like Helium 10 or Jungle Scout to track SKU-level keyword rank changes from November to December.
See if top performers in December rank higher for key search terms.
End: If confirmed, traffic increase or decrease is largely explained by ranking improvements for high-converting SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did we optimize listings for x% of these SKUs (titles, bullet points, backend keywords) in December?
Yes
Likely Cause: Listing optimizations (e.g., better keywords, enhanced images, A+ content) can improve both visibility and click share from organic search.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November vs. December (possibly use “Manage Your Experiments” in Seller Central or track version changes for vendor).
End: If these optimizations correlate with increased traffic to those SKUs, you’ve found a key driver.
No → If search ranking and listing optimizations don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Amazon Browse Nodes & Category Placement
2.1 Were signifcant proportion of SKUs reassigned with high/low-traffic browse nodes (sub-categories)?
Yes
Likely Cause: Relevant/Irrelevant sub-category placement can drive more/less browsing traffic to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Check the “Product Category” and “Sub-Categories” in Seller Central/Vendor Central for changes.
End: If SKUs that gained/lost traffic were newly placed in a top-browsed category, that explains the traffic change
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did any top-level browse node promotions occur (e.g., Amazon’s “Best Sellers,” “New Releases,” “Movers & Shakers”)?
Yes
Likely Cause: SKUs featured on these high-visibility pages can see a surge in organic traffic.
Next Step:
Check if your SKUs appeared in the “Top 100,” “Best Seller,” or “Amazon’s Choice” lists.
End: If correlated with the timeframe of traffic shift, you have your explanation.
No → Move to Hypothesis 3 if category changes do not account for the redistribution.
Hypothesis 3: Buy Box & Availability
3.1 Did majority of SKUs lose or gain the Buy Box more frequently?
Yes
Likely Cause: A SKU consistently winning the Buy Box will retain the bulk of traffic from search; losing it can drop traffic share significantly.
Next Step:
Review Buy Box percentage and history (Seller Central reports or third-party tools) for each SKU.
End: If high-converting SKUs gained the Buy Box more often, that explains the traffic shift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were bunch of these SKUs out of stock (OOS) or had limited availability in November or December?
Yes
Likely Cause: If lower-converting SKUs were OOS in December, traffic for those SKUs would vanish—and effectively “shift” to available SKUs (which might convert better).
Next Step:
Check inventory logs or “Restock Inventory” reports in Seller/Vendor Central.
End: If restocking correlates with traffic returning to normal distribution, you’ve confirmed a primary driver.
No → If not Buy Box or stock-related, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Demand Shifts & Seasonality
4.1 Is there a seasonal or holiday factor increasing demand for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: During holiday or event periods, shoppers tend to flock to gift or seasonal SKUs, many of which convert well if they’re best-sellers in that category.
Next Step:
Compare historical December performance for these SKUs.
Look at external trends (e.g., Google Trends) to see if certain products are seasonally popular.
End: If data shows cyclical interest, that’s your explanation.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did competitor factors (pricing, stockouts, or brand pullback) drive shoppers to our SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Competitors going OOS or raising prices can shift organic demand to your still-available, well-priced SKUs.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor listings, track competitor price changes.
End: If competitor SKUs dropped out exactly when your high-converting SKUs saw a boost, that explains the traffic increase
No → Move to Hypothesis 5 if no broad demand change is found.
Hypothesis 5: Brand Store & External Traffic
5.1 Were we driving external traffic (via social media, influencers, brand store, etc.) mostly to certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: If you or affiliates promoted specific SKUs heavily, that organic traffic could show up as direct/organic on Amazon (depending on the referral parameters).
Next Step:
Check Amazon Attribution or brand referral data to see if certain SKU links were pushed externally.
End: If these SKUs are also high-converting, that explains half the overall conversion improvement from traffic mix.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Were changes made to the Brand Store (storefront) layout that favored certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Featuring certain products more prominently in the Brand Store can direct more organic store visitors to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Compare Brand Store layouts from November vs. December, and check Store Insights for traffic sources.
End: If the featured SKUs match those that gained traffic share, you’ve located a key factor.
No → Move on to Hypothesis 6 if none of the Brand Store or external referral paths explain the traffic increase/decrease.
Hypothesis 6: Measurement & Tagging
6.1 Did any parent-child ASIN merges or changes in listing variations (color/size) happen?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging variations or changing parent-child relationships can shift the “main” traffic from one SKU to another, altering our perceived distribution.
Next Step:
Check “Manage Inventory” or vendor product catalog for variation merges or splits.
End: If these merges correlate with the timing of traffic shifts, you’ve confirmed the driver.
No → If none of these apply, consider deeper, SKU-by-SKU analysis or revisiting earlier nodes in more detail.
Conversion: change by +0.5 percentage points [3.1% —> 3.6% DRR]
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP: change by +5.1% [₹780 —> ₹820 DRR]
Category C Product Sales: change by +8.6% [3.50L —> 3.80L DRR]
Traffic: change by +10% [42,000 —> 46,200 DRR]
Hypothesis 1: Amazon Search Ranking & SEO Factors
1.1 Did most of the SKUs gain/lose organic rankings while others dropped?
Yes
Likely Cause: Improved/Decreased ranking positions for high-converting SKUs lead to greater/lesser share of organic traffic landing on them.
Next Step:
Use tools like Helium 10 or Jungle Scout to track SKU-level keyword rank changes from November to December.
See if top performers in December rank higher for key search terms.
End: If confirmed, traffic increase or decrease is largely explained by ranking improvements for high-converting SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did we optimize listings for x% of these SKUs (titles, bullet points, backend keywords) in December?
Yes
Likely Cause: Listing optimizations (e.g., better keywords, enhanced images, A+ content) can improve both visibility and click share from organic search.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November vs. December (possibly use “Manage Your Experiments” in Seller Central or track version changes for vendor).
End: If these optimizations correlate with increased traffic to those SKUs, you’ve found a key driver.
No → If search ranking and listing optimizations don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Amazon Browse Nodes & Category Placement
2.1 Were signifcant proportion of SKUs reassigned with high/low-traffic browse nodes (sub-categories)?
Yes
Likely Cause: Relevant/Irrelevant sub-category placement can drive more/less browsing traffic to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Check the “Product Category” and “Sub-Categories” in Seller Central/Vendor Central for changes.
End: If SKUs that gained/lost traffic were newly placed in a top-browsed category, that explains the traffic change
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did any top-level browse node promotions occur (e.g., Amazon’s “Best Sellers,” “New Releases,” “Movers & Shakers”)?
Yes
Likely Cause: SKUs featured on these high-visibility pages can see a surge in organic traffic.
Next Step:
Check if your SKUs appeared in the “Top 100,” “Best Seller,” or “Amazon’s Choice” lists.
End: If correlated with the timeframe of traffic shift, you have your explanation.
No → Move to Hypothesis 3 if category changes do not account for the redistribution.
Hypothesis 3: Buy Box & Availability
3.1 Did majority of SKUs lose or gain the Buy Box more frequently?
Yes
Likely Cause: A SKU consistently winning the Buy Box will retain the bulk of traffic from search; losing it can drop traffic share significantly.
Next Step:
Review Buy Box percentage and history (Seller Central reports or third-party tools) for each SKU.
End: If high-converting SKUs gained the Buy Box more often, that explains the traffic shift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were bunch of these SKUs out of stock (OOS) or had limited availability in November or December?
Yes
Likely Cause: If lower-converting SKUs were OOS in December, traffic for those SKUs would vanish—and effectively “shift” to available SKUs (which might convert better).
Next Step:
Check inventory logs or “Restock Inventory” reports in Seller/Vendor Central.
End: If restocking correlates with traffic returning to normal distribution, you’ve confirmed a primary driver.
No → If not Buy Box or stock-related, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Demand Shifts & Seasonality
4.1 Is there a seasonal or holiday factor increasing demand for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: During holiday or event periods, shoppers tend to flock to gift or seasonal SKUs, many of which convert well if they’re best-sellers in that category.
Next Step:
Compare historical December performance for these SKUs.
Look at external trends (e.g., Google Trends) to see if certain products are seasonally popular.
End: If data shows cyclical interest, that’s your explanation.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did competitor factors (pricing, stockouts, or brand pullback) drive shoppers to our SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Competitors going OOS or raising prices can shift organic demand to your still-available, well-priced SKUs.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor listings, track competitor price changes.
End: If competitor SKUs dropped out exactly when your high-converting SKUs saw a boost, that explains the traffic increase
No → Move to Hypothesis 5 if no broad demand change is found.
Hypothesis 5: Brand Store & External Traffic
5.1 Were we driving external traffic (via social media, influencers, brand store, etc.) mostly to certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: If you or affiliates promoted specific SKUs heavily, that organic traffic could show up as direct/organic on Amazon (depending on the referral parameters).
Next Step:
Check Amazon Attribution or brand referral data to see if certain SKU links were pushed externally.
End: If these SKUs are also high-converting, that explains half the overall conversion improvement from traffic mix.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Were changes made to the Brand Store (storefront) layout that favored certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Featuring certain products more prominently in the Brand Store can direct more organic store visitors to those SKUs.
Next Step:
Compare Brand Store layouts from November vs. December, and check Store Insights for traffic sources.
End: If the featured SKUs match those that gained traffic share, you’ve located a key factor.
No → Move on to Hypothesis 6 if none of the Brand Store or external referral paths explain the traffic increase/decrease.
Hypothesis 6: Measurement & Tagging
6.1 Did any parent-child ASIN merges or changes in listing variations (color/size) happen?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging variations or changing parent-child relationships can shift the “main” traffic from one SKU to another, altering our perceived distribution.
Next Step:
Check “Manage Inventory” or vendor product catalog for variation merges or splits.
End: If these merges correlate with the timing of traffic shifts, you’ve confirmed the driver.
No → If none of these apply, consider deeper, SKU-by-SKU analysis or revisiting earlier nodes in more detail.
Conversion: change by -0.2 percentage points [2.5% —> 2.3% DRR]
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP: change by -3.3% [₹610 —> ₹590 DRR]
Ad Sales: change by +20% [1.50L —> 1.80L DRR]
Category A Product Sales: change by x% [5.00L —> 6.00L DRR]
Impressions: change by x%
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids (or daily budgets) for our key SKUs/campaigns changed in December?
Yes → Possible cause: Increased bids can lead to higher ad rank and more impressions (or decreased bids the opposite).
Next Step: Compare November vs. December bidding and daily budget levels. If you increased them, you likely gained impressions; if you lowered them, you lost impressions.
End: If confirmed, you have found your primary driver for impressions change.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors’ bidding behavior change significantly?
Yes → Cause: Competitor bid changes can raise or lower the overall auction dynamics—affecting how often your ads are shown.
Next Step: Review impression share reports, average position, and competitor metrics. Confirm if competition got stronger or weaker in December.
End: If competitor shifts explain the impression changes, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Did budget constraints cause ads to stop running earlier or later than November?
Yes → Cause: If budgets were capped or exhausted sooner in the day, impressions could drop; if uncapped, impressions might have increased.
Next Step: Compare daily spend patterns and check if budgets were hitting limits.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause for impression fluctuation.
No → If none of these Auction & Bidding factors explain the shift, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Keyword & Targeting Adjustments
2.1 Did we add or remove keywords or product targets (e.g., SKU-based targeting) since November?
Yes → Cause: Expanding keywords or product targets often increases impressions; removing them can reduce impressions.
Next Step: Look at performance by new vs. existing keywords. If the net effect is growth, that explains increased impressions; if removal was larger, it could explain a drop.
End: If confirmed, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Were negative keywords added or targeting restricted?
Yes → Cause: This can reduce the eligible search queries or audience, thereby lowering impressions.
Next Step: Review change logs for negative keyword additions or tighter targeting criteria.
End: If reversing or loosening those changes increases impressions again, it’s confirmed.
No → Proceed to 2.3.
2.3 Were audience segments or geo-targeting expanded or reduced?
Yes → Cause: Broader audiences or geographies often yield more impressions, while restricting them does the opposite.
Next Step: Compare audience or location reports from November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses for Keyword & Targeting are “No,” move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Ad Scheduling & Delivery
3.1 Were ad schedules changed, reducing or extending the total hours ads were shown?
Yes → Cause: Running ads fewer hours can drastically cut impressions; running them more hours can boost impressions.
Next Step: Check the dayparting or ad schedule settings for November vs. December.
End: If scheduling changes align with the impression shift, you’ve found the reason.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were different delivery methods (standard vs. accelerated) used?
Yes → Cause: Switching from accelerated to standard (or vice versa) can shift how quickly ads spend their budget and thus affect total impressions.
Next Step: Check the campaign delivery settings in November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, no further exploration needed.
No → Move to Hypothesis 4 if scheduling & delivery changes do not explain the difference.
Hypothesis 4: Ad Quality & Relevance
4.1 Did our Quality Score or relevance metrics change, impacting how often ads are shown?
Yes → Cause: A drop in Quality Score can reduce impression share; an improvement can boost it.
Next Step: Examine Quality Score components (expected CTR, ad relevance, landing page experience). Identify changes from November to December.
End: If confirmed, focus on improving these factors for stable impression share.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did changes in clickthrough rates (CTR) affect ad rank or impression frequency?
Yes → Cause: While CTR is partly a result of impressions, certain ad platforms use CTR in ad rank calculations. A big CTR drop might reduce total impressions. Conversely, a big CTR rise might increase impression opportunities.
Next Step: Correlate CTR changes with impression share in the ad platforms’ reporting.
End: If confirmed, improving CTR or mitigating its drop can restore impressions.
No → If not ad quality or relevance, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Seasonality & Macro Factors
5.1 Are there seasonal patterns or macro trends (e.g., holidays, economic shifts) that affected total search/ad volume?
Yes → Cause: Overall search volume for your category might have increased or decreased.
Next Step: Check historical data to see if this period typically experiences a change in search interest.
End: If it aligns with known seasonal peaks/slumps, you’ve identified the macro cause.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did competitor promotions or events draw user attention elsewhere or boost overall interest?
Yes → Cause: Competitor heavy promotions can draw more (or fewer) queries in your category, indirectly affecting your impressions.
Next Step: Monitor market-level demand, competitor promotions, or press coverage.
End: If confirmed, this is largely outside direct control, but influences impression volume.
No → If neither seasonality nor macro factors seem to explain it, At this point, consider more granular analyses (SKU-level, time-of-day, device-level, etc.) or revisit earlier hypotheses in more depth.
Impressions Click Through Rate (CTR): change by y%
Contribution of each SKU’s CTR, independent of impression share, affect the overall CTR
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids for the 83 SKUs reduced in December?
Yes → Likely cause: Lower bids may have decreased ad rank/visibility, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Test by incrementally increasing bids for a select group of the 83 SKUs and see if CTR improves.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause; you may not need to explore further.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors increase their bids substantially, hurting our visibility?
Yes → Likely cause: Even if our bids remained the same, competitor bid increases can lower our relative ad position, reducing CTR.
Next Step: Compare average ad positions and competitor impression share from November vs. December to confirm.
End: If confirmed, explore ways to adjust bidding or enhance ad relevance.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Were budget caps (daily or total) reached earlier than in November for these SKUs?
Yes → Likely cause: Ads may have paused prematurely, running in less optimal hours or positions, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Increase or reallocate budget to see if extending ad availability improves CTR.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses in Auction & Bidding are “No,” move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Ad Creative & Messaging
2.1 Were ad creatives or messaging changed for the 83 SKUs?
Yes → Possibly the new creatives/messaging are less appealing.
Next Step: A/B test original (November) creative vs. current (December) creative on a subset of SKUs.
End: If CTR rebounds with old creative, you have found your cause.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Could ad fatigue be impacting CTR? (e.g., same audiences seeing the same ads too often)
Yes → Likely cause: Users become “blind” to repeated ads, diminishing CTR.
Next Step: Reduce frequency caps, refresh creative, or adjust audience segments.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If ad creative or messaging is not the issue, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Audience & Targeting
3.1 Was there a shift in audience segments or targeting parameters? (e.g., new negative keywords, changed demographics)
Yes → Possibly showing ads to a less interested audience.
Next Step: Compare November vs. December audience composition and performance by segment. Reverse or refine targeting changes.
End: If CTR improves after reverting audience changes, you have found your cause.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Are seasonal or macro trends causing lower engagement overall?
Yes → Holiday promotions ended? Post-holiday slump?
Next Step: Check historical data for past years, see if CTR traditionally drops during this period.
End: If seasonality explains the drop, plan promotional strategies accordingly.
No → If no audience or seasonality changes explain the drop, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Offers & Pricing
4.1 Have offers or pricing changed unfavorably for these SKUs?
Yes → Less appealing offers/pricing can deter clicks (users might see lower value in the ad).
Next Step: Compare pre/post pricing and evaluate promotional strategies.
End: If reverting or improving offers reinstates CTR, cause is confirmed.
No → If funnel/landing page is not the culprit, you may need to circle back and do a more granular analysis or revisit earlier hypotheses more deeply.
Contribution of SKUs impression share affecting the CTR
Conversion (CVR): change by z%
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP
Category B Product Sales: change by y% [7.00L —> 7.50L DRR]
Impressions: change by x%
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids (or daily budgets) for our key SKUs/campaigns changed in December?
Yes → Possible cause: Increased bids can lead to higher ad rank and more impressions (or decreased bids the opposite).
Next Step: Compare November vs. December bidding and daily budget levels. If you increased them, you likely gained impressions; if you lowered them, you lost impressions.
End: If confirmed, you have found your primary driver for impressions change.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors’ bidding behavior change significantly?
Yes → Cause: Competitor bid changes can raise or lower the overall auction dynamics—affecting how often your ads are shown.
Next Step: Review impression share reports, average position, and competitor metrics. Confirm if competition got stronger or weaker in December.
End: If competitor shifts explain the impression changes, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Did budget constraints cause ads to stop running earlier or later than November?
Yes → Cause: If budgets were capped or exhausted sooner in the day, impressions could drop; if uncapped, impressions might have increased.
Next Step: Compare daily spend patterns and check if budgets were hitting limits.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause for impression fluctuation.
No → If none of these Auction & Bidding factors explain the shift, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Keyword & Targeting Adjustments
2.1 Did we add or remove keywords or product targets (e.g., SKU-based targeting) since November?
Yes → Cause: Expanding keywords or product targets often increases impressions; removing them can reduce impressions.
Next Step: Look at performance by new vs. existing keywords. If the net effect is growth, that explains increased impressions; if removal was larger, it could explain a drop.
End: If confirmed, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Were negative keywords added or targeting restricted?
Yes → Cause: This can reduce the eligible search queries or audience, thereby lowering impressions.
Next Step: Review change logs for negative keyword additions or tighter targeting criteria.
End: If reversing or loosening those changes increases impressions again, it’s confirmed.
No → Proceed to 2.3.
2.3 Were audience segments or geo-targeting expanded or reduced?
Yes → Cause: Broader audiences or geographies often yield more impressions, while restricting them does the opposite.
Next Step: Compare audience or location reports from November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses for Keyword & Targeting are “No,” move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Ad Scheduling & Delivery
3.1 Were ad schedules changed, reducing or extending the total hours ads were shown?
Yes → Cause: Running ads fewer hours can drastically cut impressions; running them more hours can boost impressions.
Next Step: Check the dayparting or ad schedule settings for November vs. December.
End: If scheduling changes align with the impression shift, you’ve found the reason.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were different delivery methods (standard vs. accelerated) used?
Yes → Cause: Switching from accelerated to standard (or vice versa) can shift how quickly ads spend their budget and thus affect total impressions.
Next Step: Check the campaign delivery settings in November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, no further exploration needed.
No → Move to Hypothesis 4 if scheduling & delivery changes do not explain the difference.
Hypothesis 4: Ad Quality & Relevance
4.1 Did our Quality Score or relevance metrics change, impacting how often ads are shown?
Yes → Cause: A drop in Quality Score can reduce impression share; an improvement can boost it.
Next Step: Examine Quality Score components (expected CTR, ad relevance, landing page experience). Identify changes from November to December.
End: If confirmed, focus on improving these factors for stable impression share.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did changes in clickthrough rates (CTR) affect ad rank or impression frequency?
Yes → Cause: While CTR is partly a result of impressions, certain ad platforms use CTR in ad rank calculations. A big CTR drop might reduce total impressions. Conversely, a big CTR rise might increase impression opportunities.
Next Step: Correlate CTR changes with impression share in the ad platforms’ reporting.
End: If confirmed, improving CTR or mitigating its drop can restore impressions.
No → If not ad quality or relevance, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Seasonality & Macro Factors
5.1 Are there seasonal patterns or macro trends (e.g., holidays, economic shifts) that affected total search/ad volume?
Yes → Cause: Overall search volume for your category might have increased or decreased.
Next Step: Check historical data to see if this period typically experiences a change in search interest.
End: If it aligns with known seasonal peaks/slumps, you’ve identified the macro cause.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did competitor promotions or events draw user attention elsewhere or boost overall interest?
Yes → Cause: Competitor heavy promotions can draw more (or fewer) queries in your category, indirectly affecting your impressions.
Next Step: Monitor market-level demand, competitor promotions, or press coverage.
End: If confirmed, this is largely outside direct control, but influences impression volume.
No → If neither seasonality nor macro factors seem to explain it, At this point, consider more granular analyses (SKU-level, time-of-day, device-level, etc.) or revisit earlier hypotheses in more depth.
Impressions Click Through Rate (CTR): change by y%
Contribution of each SKU’s CTR, independent of impression share, affect the overall CTR
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids for the 83 SKUs reduced in December?
Yes → Likely cause: Lower bids may have decreased ad rank/visibility, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Test by incrementally increasing bids for a select group of the 83 SKUs and see if CTR improves.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause; you may not need to explore further.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors increase their bids substantially, hurting our visibility?
Yes → Likely cause: Even if our bids remained the same, competitor bid increases can lower our relative ad position, reducing CTR.
Next Step: Compare average ad positions and competitor impression share from November vs. December to confirm.
End: If confirmed, explore ways to adjust bidding or enhance ad relevance.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Were budget caps (daily or total) reached earlier than in November for these SKUs?
Yes → Likely cause: Ads may have paused prematurely, running in less optimal hours or positions, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Increase or reallocate budget to see if extending ad availability improves CTR.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses in Auction & Bidding are “No,” move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Ad Creative & Messaging
2.1 Were ad creatives or messaging changed for the 83 SKUs?
Yes → Possibly the new creatives/messaging are less appealing.
Next Step: A/B test original (November) creative vs. current (December) creative on a subset of SKUs.
End: If CTR rebounds with old creative, you have found your cause.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Could ad fatigue be impacting CTR? (e.g., same audiences seeing the same ads too often)
Yes → Likely cause: Users become “blind” to repeated ads, diminishing CTR.
Next Step: Reduce frequency caps, refresh creative, or adjust audience segments.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If ad creative or messaging is not the issue, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Audience & Targeting
3.1 Was there a shift in audience segments or targeting parameters? (e.g., new negative keywords, changed demographics)
Yes → Possibly showing ads to a less interested audience.
Next Step: Compare November vs. December audience composition and performance by segment. Reverse or refine targeting changes.
End: If CTR improves after reverting audience changes, you have found your cause.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Are seasonal or macro trends causing lower engagement overall?
Yes → Holiday promotions ended? Post-holiday slump?
Next Step: Check historical data for past years, see if CTR traditionally drops during this period.
End: If seasonality explains the drop, plan promotional strategies accordingly.
No → If no audience or seasonality changes explain the drop, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Offers & Pricing
4.1 Have offers or pricing changed unfavorably for these SKUs?
Yes → Less appealing offers/pricing can deter clicks (users might see lower value in the ad).
Next Step: Compare pre/post pricing and evaluate promotional strategies.
End: If reverting or improving offers reinstates CTR, cause is confirmed.
No → If funnel/landing page is not the culprit, you may need to circle back and do a more granular analysis or revisit earlier hypotheses more deeply.
Contribution of SKUs impression share affecting the CTR
Conversion (CVR): change by z%
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP
Category C Product Sales: change by y% [7.00L —> 7.50L DRR]
Impressions: change by x%
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids (or daily budgets) for our key SKUs/campaigns changed in December?
Yes → Possible cause: Increased bids can lead to higher ad rank and more impressions (or decreased bids the opposite).
Next Step: Compare November vs. December bidding and daily budget levels. If you increased them, you likely gained impressions; if you lowered them, you lost impressions.
End: If confirmed, you have found your primary driver for impressions change.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors’ bidding behavior change significantly?
Yes → Cause: Competitor bid changes can raise or lower the overall auction dynamics—affecting how often your ads are shown.
Next Step: Review impression share reports, average position, and competitor metrics. Confirm if competition got stronger or weaker in December.
End: If competitor shifts explain the impression changes, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Did budget constraints cause ads to stop running earlier or later than November?
Yes → Cause: If budgets were capped or exhausted sooner in the day, impressions could drop; if uncapped, impressions might have increased.
Next Step: Compare daily spend patterns and check if budgets were hitting limits.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause for impression fluctuation.
No → If none of these Auction & Bidding factors explain the shift, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Keyword & Targeting Adjustments
2.1 Did we add or remove keywords or product targets (e.g., SKU-based targeting) since November?
Yes → Cause: Expanding keywords or product targets often increases impressions; removing them can reduce impressions.
Next Step: Look at performance by new vs. existing keywords. If the net effect is growth, that explains increased impressions; if removal was larger, it could explain a drop.
End: If confirmed, you have your answer.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Were negative keywords added or targeting restricted?
Yes → Cause: This can reduce the eligible search queries or audience, thereby lowering impressions.
Next Step: Review change logs for negative keyword additions or tighter targeting criteria.
End: If reversing or loosening those changes increases impressions again, it’s confirmed.
No → Proceed to 2.3.
2.3 Were audience segments or geo-targeting expanded or reduced?
Yes → Cause: Broader audiences or geographies often yield more impressions, while restricting them does the opposite.
Next Step: Compare audience or location reports from November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, you’ve found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses for Keyword & Targeting are “No,” move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Ad Scheduling & Delivery
3.1 Were ad schedules changed, reducing or extending the total hours ads were shown?
Yes → Cause: Running ads fewer hours can drastically cut impressions; running them more hours can boost impressions.
Next Step: Check the dayparting or ad schedule settings for November vs. December.
End: If scheduling changes align with the impression shift, you’ve found the reason.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Were different delivery methods (standard vs. accelerated) used?
Yes → Cause: Switching from accelerated to standard (or vice versa) can shift how quickly ads spend their budget and thus affect total impressions.
Next Step: Check the campaign delivery settings in November vs. December.
End: If confirmed, no further exploration needed.
No → Move to Hypothesis 4 if scheduling & delivery changes do not explain the difference.
Hypothesis 4: Ad Quality & Relevance
4.1 Did our Quality Score or relevance metrics change, impacting how often ads are shown?
Yes → Cause: A drop in Quality Score can reduce impression share; an improvement can boost it.
Next Step: Examine Quality Score components (expected CTR, ad relevance, landing page experience). Identify changes from November to December.
End: If confirmed, focus on improving these factors for stable impression share.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did changes in clickthrough rates (CTR) affect ad rank or impression frequency?
Yes → Cause: While CTR is partly a result of impressions, certain ad platforms use CTR in ad rank calculations. A big CTR drop might reduce total impressions. Conversely, a big CTR rise might increase impression opportunities.
Next Step: Correlate CTR changes with impression share in the ad platforms’ reporting.
End: If confirmed, improving CTR or mitigating its drop can restore impressions.
No → If not ad quality or relevance, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Seasonality & Macro Factors
5.1 Are there seasonal patterns or macro trends (e.g., holidays, economic shifts) that affected total search/ad volume?
Yes → Cause: Overall search volume for your category might have increased or decreased.
Next Step: Check historical data to see if this period typically experiences a change in search interest.
End: If it aligns with known seasonal peaks/slumps, you’ve identified the macro cause.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did competitor promotions or events draw user attention elsewhere or boost overall interest?
Yes → Cause: Competitor heavy promotions can draw more (or fewer) queries in your category, indirectly affecting your impressions.
Next Step: Monitor market-level demand, competitor promotions, or press coverage.
End: If confirmed, this is largely outside direct control, but influences impression volume.
No → If neither seasonality nor macro factors seem to explain it, At this point, consider more granular analyses (SKU-level, time-of-day, device-level, etc.) or revisit earlier hypotheses in more depth.
Impressions Click Through Rate (CTR): change by y%
Contribution of each SKU’s CTR, independent of impression share, affect the overall CTR
Hypothesis 1: Auction & Bidding Factors
1.1 Were bids for the 83 SKUs reduced in December?
Yes → Likely cause: Lower bids may have decreased ad rank/visibility, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Test by incrementally increasing bids for a select group of the 83 SKUs and see if CTR improves.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause; you may not need to explore further.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did competitors increase their bids substantially, hurting our visibility?
Yes → Likely cause: Even if our bids remained the same, competitor bid increases can lower our relative ad position, reducing CTR.
Next Step: Compare average ad positions and competitor impression share from November vs. December to confirm.
End: If confirmed, explore ways to adjust bidding or enhance ad relevance.
No → Proceed to 1.3.
1.3 Were budget caps (daily or total) reached earlier than in November for these SKUs?
Yes → Likely cause: Ads may have paused prematurely, running in less optimal hours or positions, leading to lower CTR.
Next Step: Increase or reallocate budget to see if extending ad availability improves CTR.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If all sub-hypotheses in Auction & Bidding are “No,” move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Ad Creative & Messaging
2.1 Were ad creatives or messaging changed for the 83 SKUs?
Yes → Possibly the new creatives/messaging are less appealing.
Next Step: A/B test original (November) creative vs. current (December) creative on a subset of SKUs.
End: If CTR rebounds with old creative, you have found your cause.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Could ad fatigue be impacting CTR? (e.g., same audiences seeing the same ads too often)
Yes → Likely cause: Users become “blind” to repeated ads, diminishing CTR.
Next Step: Reduce frequency caps, refresh creative, or adjust audience segments.
End: If confirmed, you have found your cause.
No → If ad creative or messaging is not the issue, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Audience & Targeting
3.1 Was there a shift in audience segments or targeting parameters? (e.g., new negative keywords, changed demographics)
Yes → Possibly showing ads to a less interested audience.
Next Step: Compare November vs. December audience composition and performance by segment. Reverse or refine targeting changes.
End: If CTR improves after reverting audience changes, you have found your cause.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Are seasonal or macro trends causing lower engagement overall?
Yes → Holiday promotions ended? Post-holiday slump?
Next Step: Check historical data for past years, see if CTR traditionally drops during this period.
End: If seasonality explains the drop, plan promotional strategies accordingly.
No → If no audience or seasonality changes explain the drop, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Offers & Pricing
4.1 Have offers or pricing changed unfavorably for these SKUs?
Yes → Less appealing offers/pricing can deter clicks (users might see lower value in the ad).
Next Step: Compare pre/post pricing and evaluate promotional strategies.
End: If reverting or improving offers reinstates CTR, cause is confirmed.
No → If funnel/landing page is not the culprit, you may need to circle back and do a more granular analysis or revisit earlier hypotheses more deeply.
Contribution of SKUs impression share affecting the CTR
Conversion (CVR): change by z%
Contribution of each SKU’s CVR, independent of Click share, affect the overall CVR
Hypothesis 1: Product Listing & User Experience (UX)
1.1 Were product detail pages updated with improved images, A+ content, bullet points, or backend keywords?
Yes
Likely Cause: More compelling visuals, clearer info, or better SEO keywords typically boost conversions.
Next Step:
Compare listing versions from November to December (via “Manage Your Experiments” or tracked listing edits).
Note which SKUs had changes; see if conversion uplift aligns with the update dates.
End: If confirmed, listing optimizations explain conversion gains for those SKUs.
No → Proceed to 1.2.
1.2 Did changes in the Brand Store or enhanced brand content alter how shoppers view or buy these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Upgraded store navigation or featured modules can highlight certain SKUs, increasing conversion.
Next Step:
Review Amazon Brand Store Insights to see if certain SKUs got more direct hits or better conversion paths.
Map store layout changes to each SKU’s daily/weekly conversion trend.
End: If the correlation is strong, you’ve found a primary conversion driver.
No → If no listing or UX updates explain it, move to Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2: Pricing & Promotions
2.1 Did we run discounts, coupons, or Lightning Deals for these SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Promotional pricing often leads to higher conversion rates if shoppers perceive a deal.
Next Step:
Check the promotion schedules in Seller Central/Vendor Central (Deals, Coupons).
Verify if the 20 SKUs with conversion gains had active promos during December.
End: If yes, promotions are likely driving the lift.
No → Proceed to 2.2.
2.2 Did we remove or reduce discounts for certain SKUs, causing conversion to drop?
Yes
Likely Cause: Ending a successful promotion can hurt conversions if customers lose an appealing deal.
Next Step:
Examine the timeline for when promotions ended and match that to conversion declines in the 20 SKUs (if they had declined).
End: If alignment exists, you’ve identified why those SKUs saw conversion dips.
No → If not pricing or promotion, move to Hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 3: Product Reviews & Ratings
3.1 Did star ratings improve (e.g., from 4.2 to 4.5) or did we get a surge of positive reviews?
Yes
Likely Cause: Hitting a higher star threshold or gaining strong new reviews significantly increases customer confidence.
Next Step:
Use Seller Central/Vendor Central “Voice of the Customer” or third-party review-tracking tools.
Match rating boosts with increased conversion for specific SKUs.
End: If the timing matches, reviews/ratings explain the uplift.
No → Proceed to 3.2.
3.2 Did negative feedback or a rating drop occur for certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: A lower star rating or complaints can deter customers from buying, lowering conversion.
Next Step:
Review negative feedback timeline and see if it coincides with the 94 SKUs’ conversion decline.
End: If confirmed, poor reviews are the culprit.
No → If no review-related factors, move to Hypothesis 4.
Hypothesis 4: Competitive Landscape
4.1 Did a main competitor go out of stock or raise prices, making our SKU more attractive?
Yes
Likely Cause: If competitor listings become less favorable (OOS, price hikes), our SKUs get a conversion bump.
Next Step:
Monitor competitor stock/pricing via third-party tools or manual checks.
Correlate competitor disruptions with your SKU’s conversion lift dates.
End: If the overlap is clear, competitor changes explain your SKU’s conversion growth.
No → Proceed to 4.2.
4.2 Did a strong competitor enter the market or intensify promotions, undercutting our listings?
Yes
Likely Cause: A new competitor or an existing one offering steep discounts or better ratings can siphon away conversions.
Next Step:
Track changes in competitor ads, brand campaigns, or price points.
Confirm if your 94 declining SKUs directly overlap with their product.
End: If the correlation is evident, competitor action is causing conversion drops.
No → If not competitive factors, move to Hypothesis 5.
Hypothesis 5: Stock & Fulfillment
5.1 Did we switch fulfillment methods (e.g., from FBA to MFN/FBM) or experience slower shipping times?
Yes
Likely Cause: Losing Prime eligibility or extending delivery windows often reduces conversion.
Next Step:
Check each SKU’s fulfillment type in Inventory reports.
See if the 94 SKUs with lower conversion lost FBA during December.
End: If conversion dips align with the shift to slower fulfillment, that’s the reason.
No → Proceed to 5.2.
5.2 Did any SKUs have low or “Only X left in stock” messages that boosted urgency, or did they go fully OOS?
Yes
Likely Cause:
Low stock can spur purchases (fear of missing out).
Fully OOS means no sales, so conversion percentage might appear skewed.
Next Step:
Review restock inventory reports for stock fluctuations.
End: If SKUs with “limited stock” soared in conversions or OOS SKUs saw big drops, you’ve found the cause.
No → If stock/fulfillment changes don’t explain it, move to Hypothesis 6.
Hypothesis 6: Marketing & External Influences
6.1 Were certain SKUs promoted via off-Amazon channels (influencers, social media, brand referral links) to a more purchase-ready audience?
Yes
Likely Cause: Higher-intent external traffic typically yields better conversion rates than casual browsing.
Next Step:
Check “Amazon Attribution” data for referral performance on specific SKUs.
See if conversion lifts coincide with external campaign schedules.
End: If confirmed, external traffic explains the SKU-level improvement.
No → Proceed to 6.2.
6.2 Did any PR or editorial features (e.g., “Amazon Editor’s Choice,” “Featured in Gift Guides”) highlight certain SKUs?
Yes
Likely Cause: Third-party endorsements can significantly boost conversion if shoppers trust these recommendations.
Next Step:
Track editorial recommendations, media mentions, or gift guide inclusions.
Match the timeframe to your SKU’s conversion spike.
End: If timing aligns, that’s the root cause.
No → Move to Hypothesis 7 if none of these marketing or external pushes explain it.
Hypothesis 7: Child & Parent Variant Mapping
7.1 Were any ASIN merges or parent-child variation changes done in December, redistributing reviews or sales data?
Yes
Likely Cause: Merging child variations can shift reviews/sales to a single parent listing, altering measured conversion rates.
Next Step:
Check catalog changes in “Manage Inventory” or the vendor product catalog for merges/splits.
Match the timing with conversion pattern changes.
End: If merges or splits explain the conversion shift, that’s your answer.
No → If no measurement or variation changes, we may need deeper SKU-by-SKU or time-of-day analysis
Contribution of SKU Click share affecting the CVR
ASP



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