Decision Exploration Table
Results
Results
This page is meant for the facilitator of the meeting to lead a discussion with the team on the results.
Facilitator instructions- Collate all the responses, find common reasons, and put into the table below (if doing as a team).- Go through each quadrant and lead a discussion on where there’s agreement and where there are differences in likelihoods.- Ask the questions below and write in responses from team.1. Do we want to change the decision based on results?
2. What can we do to decrease the likelihood of failure? Increase the likelihood of success?
3. For reasons that involve luck, what can we do to increase chances that good luck comes our way? What’s our plan if we get bad luck?
Control
Type
Failure (premortem)
Success (backcast)
Reason
Likelihood
Reason
Likelihood
Skill (in your control)
Add reason here
70%
Add reason here
60%
Add reason here
60%
Add reason here
50%
Add reason here
50%
Add reason here
70%
Add reason here
60%
Add reason here
60%
Add reason here
50%
Add reason here
50%
Luck (outside your control)
Add reason here
70%
Add reason here
60%
Add reason here
60%
Add reason here
50%
Add reason here
50%
Add reason here
70%
Add reason here
60%
Add reason here
60%
Add reason here
50%
Add reason here
50%
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