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Calculo Utilidad Esperada
Actor Proponente:
Presidente
+8Ronda:
Ronda 1
+5Turno:
1
+7Actor Receiver:
Partido amarillo
+4View of Matriz Posiciones (Metodo PRINCE + Probabilidades)
Ronda
Turno
Actor Proponente
Asunto critico
Reforma Fiscal
28
Actor Receiver
Expected Utility of Proposer
Expected Utility of Receiver
Difference EU proposer to receiver
Proposer Decides To Challenge
Pro Success Proposer over Rec
Probability of change
Probability of Status Quo
Probability Receiver will win over Prop
Propuesta
Utils of Proposer if Situation worst
Utils of Proposer if Status Quo
Utils Proposer if fails
Utils Proposer if Situation is better
Utils Proposer if wins over Rec
Utils Receiver if fails over Proposer
Utils Receiver if Situation is better
Utils Receiver if Situation is worst
Utils Receiver if Status Quo
Utils Receiver if wins over Proposer
Ronda
Turno
Actor Proponente
Asunto critico
Reforma Fiscal
28
Actor Receiver
Expected Utility of Proposer
Expected Utility of Receiver
Difference EU proposer to receiver
Proposer Decides To Challenge
Pro Success Proposer over Rec
Probability of change
Probability of Status Quo
Probability Receiver will win over Prop
Propuesta
Utils of Proposer if Situation worst
Utils of Proposer if Status Quo
Utils Proposer if fails
Utils Proposer if Situation is better
Utils Proposer if wins over Rec
Utils Receiver if fails over Proposer
Utils Receiver if Situation is better
Utils Receiver if Situation is worst
Utils Receiver if Status Quo
Utils Receiver if wins over Proposer
Ronda 1
5
1
1
Empresarios
1
Partido amarillo
46.00
46.00
1.00
No Challenge
B
46.00
Sum
46.00
Sum
1.00
Sum
2
1
Partido amarillo
1
Partido Verde
61.00
61.00
1.00
Challenger
C
61.00
Sum
61.00
Sum
1.00
Sum
3
1
Vox Populi
1
Presidente
61.00
61.00
59.00
Challenger
Reforma Fiscal
61.00
Sum
61.00
Sum
59.00
Sum
4
1
Partido Verde
1
Presidente
80.03
80.03
91.00
100
Reforma Fiscal
80.03
Sum
80.03
Sum
91.00
Sum
5
1
Medios de Comunicación
1
53.00
53.00
53.00
Sum
53.00
Sum
0
Sum
Ronda 2
5
1
1
Empresarios
1
Partido amarillo
31.00
31.00
-331174.21
No Challenge
Reforma Fiscal
31.00
Sum
31.00
Sum
-331174.21
Sum
2
1
Partido amarillo
1
Empresarios
81.00
81.00
1.00
Challenger
C
81.00
Sum
81.00
Sum
1.00
Sum
3
1
Vox Populi
1
Presidente
61.00
61.00
59.00
58
Reforma Fiscal
61.00
Sum
61.00
Sum
59.00
Sum
4
1
Partido Verde
1
Presidente
61.00
61.00
91.00
100
Reforma Fiscal
61.00
Sum
61.00
Sum
91.00
Sum
5
1
Medios de Comunicación
1
56.00
56.00
56.00
Sum
56.00
Sum
0
Sum
Ronda 3
5
1
1
Empresarios
1
Empresarios
33.00
33.00
88.00
87
Reforma Fiscal
33.00
Sum
33.00
Sum
88.00
Sum
2
1
Partido amarillo
1
Empresarios
37.00
37.00
1.00
Challenger
C
37.00
Sum
37.00
Sum
1.00
Sum
3
1
Vox Populi
1
Presidente
61.00
61.00
58.00
57
Reforma Fiscal
61.00
Sum
61.00
Sum
58.00
Sum
4
1
Partido Verde
1
Ministry of Industry
61.00
61.00
59.00
58
Reforma Fiscal
61.00
Sum
61.00
Sum
59.00
Sum
5
1
Medios de Comunicación
1
73.00
73.00
73.00
Sum
73.00
Sum
0
Sum
Ronda 4
5
1
1
Empresarios
1
Vox Populi
44.00
44.00
44.00
Sum
44.00
Sum
0
Sum
2
1
Partido amarillo
1
Empresarios
101.00
101.00
Challenger
B
101.00
Sum
101.00
Sum
0
Sum
3
1
Vox Populi
1
Presidente
71.00
71.00
31.00
30
Reforma Fiscal
71.00
Sum
71.00
Sum
31.00
Sum
4
1
Partido Verde
1
Regulator
71.00
71.00
58.00
57
Reforma Fiscal
71.00
Sum
71.00
Sum
58.00
Sum
5
1
Medios de Comunicación
1
38.00
38.00
38.00
Sum
38.00
Sum
0
Sum
Ronda 5
8
1
1
Empresarios
1
Medios de Comunicación
45.00
45.00
45.00
Sum
45.00
Sum
0
Sum
2
1
Partido amarillo
1
Empresarios
70.00
70.00
Challenger
C
70.00
Sum
70.00
Sum
0
Sum
3
1
Vox Populi
1
Presidente
61.00
61.00
91.00
100
Reforma Fiscal
61.00
Sum
61.00
Sum
91.00
Sum
4
2
Partido Verde
2
61.00
61.00
65.29
65.29
126.29
Sum
126.29
Sum
0
Sum
5
2
Medios de Comunicación
1
22.00
22.00
22.00
Sum
22.00
Sum
0
Sum
Presidente
1
61.00
61.00
61.00
Sum
61.00
Sum
0
Sum
6
1
Vox Populi
1
70.99
70.99
70.99
Sum
70.99
Sum
0
Sum
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