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Conversational logic of Expected Utility
Expected Utility
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Quantitaive Analysis EU
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1
Are we in a situation of confrontation?
Shall we analize the situation applying the method of Expected Utility?
Do you suggest another method? Which one?
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2
Shall we analize the situation applying the method of Expected Utility?
Do we know what is the critical issue?
Do you suggest another method? Which one?
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3
Do we know what is the critical issue?
Does the critical issue has an impact on your objectives?
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4
Does the critical issue has an impact on your objectives?
Does everyone knows each other Position to this issue?
Is there a position that has the most support?
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5
Does everyone knows each other Position to this issue?
Is there a position that has the most support?
Is that most voted position (Median voter) far from your position?
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6
Is there a position that has the most support?
Is that most voted position (Median voter) far from your position?
Does everyone knows each other Position to this issue?
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7
Is that most voted position (Median voter) far from your position?
Are you evaluating to challenge?
Has the Proposer estimated every actor Expected Utility?
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8
Are you evaluating to challenge?
Has the Proposer estimated every actor Expected Utility?
Has the Proposer estimated every actor Expected Utility?
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9
Has the Proposer estimated every actor Expected Utility?
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Did you see all the values?
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11
Did you see all the values?
Is your Total EU (EU if you win - EU if you lose) satisfactory in case you challenge?
Are your chances of winning high?
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12
Is your Total EU (EU if you win - EU if you lose) satisfactory in case you challenge?
Has the Proposer decided to challenge?
Do you gain any utility if things change?
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13
Has the Proposer decided to challenge?
Make proposal “xzv vxf”
Do we know what is the critical issue?
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14
Make proposal “xzv vxf”
Did the Receiver accepted your proposal?
Is there a position that has the most support?
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15
Did the Receiver accepted your proposal?
Have you negotiated your proposal with all the actors?
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16
Have you negotiated your proposal with all the actors?
Has any other actor accepted your Proposal?
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17
Has any other actor accepted your Proposal?
Does that increases the probability Proposer will win?
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18
Does that increases the probability Proposer will win?
Are your chances of winning high?
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19
Are your chances of winning high?
Is there a new challenger?
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20
Is there a new challenger?
Has he made a proposal?
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21
Has he made a proposal?
The new proposal is xzp drv
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22
The new proposal is xzp drv
Do all the actors know the new Proposal is xzp drv
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23
Do all the actors know the new Proposal is xzp drv
Will things change even if you do not challenge?
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24
Will things change even if you do not challenge?
May things change even if you do nothing?
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25
May things change even if you do nothing?
What is the probability things will change?
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26
What is the probability things will change?
Is it very high?
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27
Is it very high?
Is it very low?
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28
Is it very low?
Do you gain any utility if things change?
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29
Do you gain any utility if things change?
Does the change in Expected Utility satisfies your aspirations?
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30
Does the change in Expected Utility satisfies your aspirations?
Are you willing to negotiate support to the proposal?
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31
Are you willing to negotiate support to the proposal?
Are you willing to make a counter-proposal?
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32
Are you willing to make a counter-proposal?
Is your chance of winning high?
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33
Is your chance of winning high?
Yes, very high
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34
Yes, very high
Do they know your utility if you win is: Abcd?
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35
Do they know your utility if you win is: Abcd?
Do you suggest another method? Which one?
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Hyz
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36
Do you suggest another method? Which one?
Prospect Theory
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37
Prospect Theory
That is a coming attraction
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38
That is a coming attraction
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​
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39
​
​
​
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