Bayes

⁠

Bayes⁠

symmetries and asymmetric interpretation?

4some?

Hypothesis is “Why” (it is the case)

Evidence is “Whether” (it is the case).

Probabilities of H and E are attitudes towards.

If you know the E, and |E you have P(H), that is “How”

If you have the H, and Expectation(E|H) is “What” (you expect to happen)

⁠

Probabilities: how → what Actualities: why → whether

⁠

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Celestial_Emporium_of_Benevolent_Knowledge⁠

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Homework (School of Tomorrow):

https://flic.kr/p/22z1vAy⁠

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