Conditions today as legacies of decision-making => today's decisions shape future trajectories
Envisioning scenarios of alternative futures and their implications
Context specific differentiation through
Time
Space
Values
Societal will - willingness to make informed decisions, engage in actions
Sense of responsibility, care, stewardship: co-production - with the Planet - thriving futures
Sense of personal belonging and agency - motivation to act
+ Skills
Cognitive Skills
Critical Thinking: The rational, skeptical, unbiased analysis or evaluation of claims or factual evidence to form a judgement.
Problem Solving: The ability to identify and define a problem, develop possible paths to a solution, and follow through until an effective solution is realized.
Information and Digital Literacy: The ability to:
know when there is a need for information
identify, locate, evaluate, and effectively use that information for the issue or problem at hand.
Learning to be ready for what you expect, as well as what you don't
Decisions affecting trajectories
?? use 3rd Canoe materials
How can people navigate the unknown?
Stars, waves, winds
VR - examples of navigating the future
3rd Canoe - Use 3rd canoe materials
2050 NYC
Post Activity
If they were going on such a voyage: Know/Don’t know
Students work in pairs to fill out
quadrants
Propose how to get ready for
What you don't know that is known
What you don't know that you don't know
Then do peer review of another team's work
In class, sitting next to each other, offering and discussing feedback
Homework:
Revise and update their own quadrants and also their proposal - using track changes
Course Overview and introduction
0.1 Introductory Class.pptx
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Cards
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Module 1: Driving forces
Situational awareness - listening to and looking at the signals all around you to decode what you need to know to move ahead
How to prepare – Upterrlainarluta: Always Getting Ready: Yup'ik
Learning to be ready for what you expect, as well as what you don’t
Nainoa
Mao
Always 2 storms – one outside in the environment and the other inside you
The one the most dangerous is the one inside of you
Our job is getting them ready for the storm
You need to prepare yourself
You can’t protect what you don’t understand
The earth was yelling at us
Start with 3rd Canoe VR Materials
Scenes from future modules -- previews
Arctic 2085
Food
Circular economy & regeneration
Cities
Module 1 Lecture Overview Video
How the Planet Became Our World - just 3 class days
Class 1 - VR: ride Temp and CO2 curves forward to 2075, drop ins on a warming world
Activity: Vostok CO2 and temp correlation, make prediction
Class 2 - VR: Britain to Carboniferous: ride temp and CO2 curves back, to swamp
Activity: distribution of coal seams, countries, land masses, geopolitics of today
Class 3 - photosynthesis, carbon capture and sequestration
Activity: actions to reduce warming, scale needed for CCS after reductions in GHG emissions, consequences of SRM, for example - still ocean acidification
2075 is a good target because students can still picture being alive at the time.
Module 1 Driving Question
What factors in the past led to our current climate situation
Module 1 Objectives
At the end of this module, you will be able to:
Explain how C02 Curves affect temperature
Describe what C02 levels were in the past and potential changes moving into the future
Predict scenario from past based on C02 levels
Class 1 VR
Time travel to 2075 and drop into different locations covered by the course (Arctic, Bangladesh, etc.). As we are traveling to the future, the is an interface that shows CO2 levels and other gases rising.
Riding CO2 molecules to show the warming and CO2 molecule are connected. Idea: CO2 molecules everywhere around you. You tap on one, and it opens up the year it was made and it’s origin (this one was from 1800, etc.)
In order to understand the changing world, we need to understand the dynamics so we will travel to the Arctic, where things are changing the fastest
Class 1: Learning to live with our dynamic planet
Dynamics - a force that stimulates change progress within a system or process
Physical
Bio-geo-chemical
Societal
Dynamics in the Earth system context-
What causes movement of air water, etc?
What determines the seed, velocity of flow?
What causes movement of air, water, etc?
Density differences
When 2 fluids meet, the denser one will sink below the lighter one
Cold milk in hot coffee
Milk is a denser fluid than coffee
Density of milk is 1.03 g/em3
Density of water is 1.00 g/cm3
Note: salt water and fresh water have similar
densities as milk and water ... We'll come
back to this later
Also colder fluids are denser than warmer ones
What determines the pathway or trajectory?
The direction of the gradient
Physical barriers
The bottom and sides of the coffee cup
Atmosphere: high mountains
Oceans: The topography of the bottom of the ocean
Glaciers: The topography of the ground under the glacier
Other forces, i.e. the apparent force called the Coriolis effect ...
Coriolis Effect
The Coriolis effect describes the pattern of
deflection taken by objects not firmly connected
to the ground as they travel long distances
around the Earth.
The Polar Jet Stream
Atmospheric dynamics
Polar vortex
The polar vortex is a large area of low pressure and cold air surrounding both of the Earth's poles. It ALWAYS exists near the poles, but weakens in summer
and strengthens in winter. The term "vortex" refers to the counter-clockwise flow of air that helps keep the colder air near the Poles.