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Macro Investing Net

Last edited 4 days ago by Ted Broomfield.

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NEWEST IDEAS AND ANALYSIS

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Click this link for the list of ideas⁠

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6/19/2025. Empirically with unemployment, inflation, and fed funds rates expectations all up, and GDP, S&P 500 earnings expectations down, it is difficult to reconcile the FOMC’s conclusion that economic uncertain has decreased. Expect

near term sell off in stocks, bonds and dollar⁠

6/14/2025. ZURVY ($34.63)

BUY ZURVY⁠

ON WEAKNESS, BECAUSE EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE

6/6/2025 ($41.35)

ENPH⁠

WATCH FOR A POSSIBLE BUY. 6/14/2025 Falls 20% Premarket on Proposed elongation of solar tax incentives.

Despite likely end to green energy subsidies in proposed 2025 tax bill, ENPH is the leader and is likely to eventually resume growth.

6/5/2025 ($182)

POWL⁠

WATCH FOR A POSSIBLE BUY.

Industrial electrical equipment and provisioning company, 3,100 employees, $1.08 bn revenue. Thesis - POWL, HQ in Houston, 3,187 employees, sells industrial electrical equipment to Liquid natural gas facilities and utilities, generating more than a billion dollar in sales and in excess of $14 EPS the trailing twelve months. POWL has experienced increasing growth rates of sales and earnings, while expanding margins since fiscal 2021. Meanwhile, the P/E ratio has compressed to just over 14X. POWL plays into the electrification theme. POWL has 12.1 mm shares outstanding, 9.4 mm float, with 1.78 mm short interest, or 18.9%, representing 5.2 average volume (341k) trading days. The idea was presented by Joe Presti, through a technical analysis-based investor friend, citing the three-month base between $155 to $190 since March 2025.

LATEST PORTFOLIO

Added [Prices may be rounded]

6/13/2025 - X at $51.75

6/13/2025 - NVTS at $7.58

6/10/2025 - POWL at $185.00

6/6/2025 - POWL at $190.00

4/7/2025 - TSLA at $230.92

4/4/2025 - QQQ at $433.10

4/4/2025 - RXRX at $4.31

4/3/2025 - NVTS at $1.63

COMING UP

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Click this link for the macro and news releases that have already been issued⁠

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6/17/2025 -

Advance Retail Sales⁠

Industrial Production⁠

Home Builder Confidence⁠

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6/18/2025 -

US Housing Permits, Starts, Completions⁠

(May 2025 1.39, 1.26, 1.53, April 2025 - 1.41, 1.36, 1.48), FOMC Interest Rate

6/18/2025 -

FOMC⁠

Interest Rate Decision

6/27/2025 - Pers. Inc. & Outlays 5/2025

7/3/2025 - US. Fed. Budget Deficit

7/8/2025, May 2025 Consumer Credit

7/9/2025 -

FOMC⁠

Minutes Meeting of June 17-18

7/15/2025 - June CPI

7/24/2025 ECB Interest Rate Decision

7/31/2025 - Pers. Inc. & Outlays 5/2025

7/30/2025 - FOMC Interest Rate

7/30/2025 - US GDP 2Q2025 (Advance)

7/30/2025 EuroStat Flash 2Q2025 GDP

7/31/2025 - Pers. Inc. & Outlays 6/2025

8/12/2025 - July CPI

8/19/2025 - Quarterly E-Commerce

8/29/2025 - Pers. Inc. & Outlays 7/2025

9/11/2025 - Aug. CPI

9/11/2025 - ECB Interest Rate Decision

9/17/2025 - FOMC Interest Rate

9/26/2025 - Pers. Inc. & Outlays 8/2025

10/15/2025 - Sept. CPI

10/28/2025 - FOMC Interest Rate

10/30/2025 - US GDP 3Q2025 (Advance, 11/26, 12/19)

10/30/2025 - EuroStat Flash 3Q2025 GDP

10/30/2025 - ECB Interest Rate Decision

10/31/2025 - Pers. Inc. & Outlays 9/2025

11/13/2025 - Oct. CPI

11/18/2025 - Quarterly E-Commerce

11/26/2025 - Pers. Inc. & Outlays 10/2025

12/10/2025 - FOMC Interest Rate

12/10/2025 - Nov. CPI

12/18/2025 - ECB Interest Rate Decision

12/19/2025 - US GDP 3Q2025 (Advance, 11/26, 12/19)

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