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Confrontation Russia Ukraine
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Russia-Ukraine confrontation: bringing up new questions
Key Insights By Connecting Prospect Theory and Drama Theory
Situational Assessment
Intentions and tendencies
Evaluation and Decision
Action and mobilization
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Manejo de Dilemas
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Confrontation analysis

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Confrontation analisis

Actors Options
Dilemmas management

Critical issue
Critical issue
Ukraine/Russia confrontation
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Episode:
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Confrontation analysis
Episode
Scene
Actor Proposer
Option
Actor Receiver
Date
Position Receiver
Proposer dilemma 1
Note Persuasion dilemma Proposer
Treathening future
Dilemma of Receiver 1
Description Persuation dilemma of Receiver
Receiver doubts Proposer willingness to execute?
Proposer dilemma 2
Note Trust dilemma of Proposer
Receiver doubts capacity Proposer to execute?
Proposer dilemma 3
Note Proposer Threat dilemma
Send to Dilemmas Management
Retain control of Donbas region
7/6/2022
Persuasion
​
Persuacion
Zelensky has a Persuasion dilemma that can only be solved with a very strong Threat
​
Threat dilemma of Proposer
Putin has a strong Threat dilemma
Enviar
Continue trying to recover Donbas
7/6/2022
Persuasion
​
​
​
​
Enviar
Contain Russia in Donbas
7/6/2022
Persuasion
​
​
​
​
Enviar
Try to expand to Kiev
7/6/2022
Persuasion
​
Persuacion
​
​
​
Enviar
Make free Ukraine region OTAN member (fast track)
7/6/2022
Persuasion
​
Persuacion
​
​
​
Enviar
Attack western territory challenge OTAN
7/6/2022
Persuasion
​
​
​
​
Enviar
Use nuclear arms during attack
7/6/2022
Persuasion
​
Persuacion
​
​
​
Enviar
Counterattack with strong weapons
7/6/2022
Persuasion
​
Persuacion
​
Trust dilemma
​
Threat dilemma of Proposer
​
Enviar
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Scene
Scene
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
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Behavioral_supply_management_a_taxonomy.pdf
471.4 kB
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Episodes
Episode
Descrpcion
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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Vista de Sesgos 2
Sesgos
Descripcion
Column 3
Anclaje
Sobreconfianza en primera informacion
​
Disponibilidad heuristica
Sobreconfianza en informacion a la mano
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Efecto vagon
Influencia de que otros crean en mi posicion
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Lado ciego
No ver tus propios sesgos
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